Is digital currency a hot industry
It's illegal
the central bank indicated that it has not issued legal digital currency, nor authorized any institutions and enterprises to issue legal digital currency, and there is no promotion team. At present, the so-called "digital currency" in the market is not legal digital currency
In addition, the so-called "digital currency" launched by some institutions and enterprises and the so-called promotion of the central bank's issuance of digital currency may involve pyramid selling and fraud 
extended information:
virtual currency is the electronization of illegal currency, and its original issuer is not the central bank. This kind of virtual currency is mainly limited to circulation in a specific virtual environment. Digital currency can be used for real goods and services transactions, but only the digital currency issued by the state is legal digital currency
in 2013, the central bank, together with five ministries and commissions, issued the notice on prevention of bitcoin risks, which clearly defined non legal digital currencies such as bitcoin as virtual commodities, which do not exist in the form of currency and legal currency
It is illegal to buy and sell digital currency in China
according to the announcement on preventing the financing risk of token issuance jointly issued by the central bank and other seven ministries and commissions, the announcement points out that any so-called token financing trading platform shall not engage in the exchange business between legal currency and token and "virtual currency", and shall not buy or sell tokens or "virtual currency" as the central counterparties, It is not allowed to provide pricing, information intermediary and other services for token or "virtual currency"
the announcement points out that token issuance financing refers to the so-called "virtual currency" raised from investors through illegal sale and circulation of tokens. In essence, it is an unauthorized illegal public financing behavior, suspected of illegal sale of token tickets, illegal issuance of securities, illegal fund-raising, financial fraud, pyramid schemes and other illegal and criminal activities
extended information:
the central bank said that the so-called "digital currency" in the market is not legal digital currency:
the central bank's monetary Bureau issued a "risk warning on issuing or promoting digital currency in the name of the people's Bank of China" on its official website, saying that recently, indivial enterprises falsely use the name of the central bank, The relevant digital procts are labeled as "authorized issuance by the people's Bank of China", or the central bank's digital currency promotion team is falsely claimed, in an attempt to deceive the public and take the opportunity to make huge profits
the central bank said that the central bank has not issued legal digital currency, nor authorized any institutions and enterprises to issue legal digital currency, and there is no promotion team. At present, the so-called "digital currency" in the market is not legal digital currency. The central bank also suggested that the so-called "digital currency" launched by some institutions and enterprises and the so-called promotion of the central bank's issuance of digital currency may involve pyramid selling and fraud
in fact, virtual currencies such as bitcoin and lightcoin are representatives of the so-called digital currency. The central bank said in 2016 that it was studying China's legal digital currency. Yao Qian, director of the digital currency Research Institute of the people's Bank of China, previously told the media that the prototype scheme for the central bank to issue legal digital currency has completed two rounds of revision, and is expected to be tested in relatively closed application scenarios such as the bill market in the future, but there is no clear timetable for its launch
Digital currency is a kind of legal tender, which must be issued by the central bank. Both digital gold coin and cryptocurrency belong to digital currency, which is not a network virtual currency, because it is not limited to virtual space, but is often used for real goods and services transactions, such as bitcoin, Wright coin, bitstock, etc. at present, there are thousands of digital currencies issued around the world
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1. Impact on financial infrastructure
the decentralized mechanism of value exchange based on distributed ledger technology has changed the basic settings of gross and net settlement on which financial market infrastructure depends. The use of distributed ledgers also poses challenges to trading, clearing and settlement, as it promotes the disintermediation of traditional service providers in different markets and infrastructures. These changes may have potential impacts on market infrastructure other than retail payment systems, such as large payment systems, securities settlement systems or trading databases
If digital currency and distributed ledger based technology are widely used, it will bring challenges to the intermediary role of financial system participants, especially banks. As a financial intermediary, banks perform the ties of acting supervisors and supervise borrowers on behalf of depositors. Usually, banks also carry out liquidity and maturity conversion business to realize the financing from depositors to borrowers. If digital currency and distributed ledger are widely used, any subsequent disintermediation may have an impact on savings or credit evaluation mechanismsyears later, the whole digital money market has undergone a lot of adjustments. With the sudden changes in the instry, the breakout of blockchain projects has accelerated, and the MLM projects continue to make money. It is inevitable that the instry will be washed. However, some reliable projects are still good, such as wikilink and quantum chain.
one. Leverage. At present, in order to earn huge profits, many investment banks use 20-30 times leverage operation. Assuming that a bank a's own assets are 3 billion, 30 times leverage is 90 billion. That is to say, bank a borrows 90 billion yuan for investment with 3 billion yuan of assets as collateral. If the investment profit is 5%, then bank a will get 4.5 billion yuan of profit. Compared with its own assets, this is 150% windfall profit. On the other hand, if the investment loses 5%, then bank a will lose all its assets and still owe $1.5 billion
two. CDs contract. Due to the high risk of leverage operation, according to the normal rules, banks do not operate such risky operations. So someone came up with a way to take leverage investment as "insurance". This kind of insurance is called CDs. For example, bank a finds institution B to avoid leverage risk. Institution B could be another bank, it could be an insurance company, and so on. A said to B, how about you do default insurance for my loan? I will pay you 50 million insurance premium every year for 10 consecutive years, with a total of 500 million. If my investment does not default, then you will take the insurance premium in vain. If you default, you will compensate for me. A I think that if I don't default, I can earn 4.5 billion yuan, of which 500 million yuan will be used for insurance, and I can make a net profit of 4 billion yuan. If there is a breach of contract, there will be insurance to compensate. So for a, it's a business that makes no loss. B is a smart person, did not immediately agree to a's invitation, but went back to do a statistical analysis, found that less than 1% of the default. If you do business with 100 companies, you can get 50 billion yuan of insurance money in total. If one of them defaults, the maximum amount of compensation is no more than 5 billion yuan. Even if two companies default, you can still earn 40 billion yuan. A. B both sides thought the deal was good for them, so they made a deal immediately and everyone was happy
three. CDS market. After B has done the insurance business, C is jealous. C went to B and said, how about you sell me these 100 CDs? Each contract will give you 200 million yuan, a total of 20 billion yuan. B thinks that it will take 10 years for me to get my 40 billion yuan. Now there will be 20 billion yuan as soon as I change hands, and there is no risk. Why not do it? Therefore, B and C will close the deal immediately. In this way, CDs, like stocks, flows to the financial market and can be traded. In fact, after C got these CDs, it didn't want to wait 10 years to collect another 20 billion yuan. Instead, it listed them for sale with a price of 22 billion yuan; D saw this proct, calculated it, 40 billion minus 22 billion, there is 18 billion to make, this is the "original stock", not expensive, bought it immediately. As soon as they changed hands, C made 2 billion. Since then, these CDs have been copied repeatedly in the market, and now the market value of CDs has been copied to 62 trillion US dollars
four. Subprime. The above a, B, C, D, e, f... Are making a lot of money, so where does the money come from? Basically, the money comes from the profits of a and its like-a investors. Most of their profits come from American subprime loans. People say the subprime crisis is e to lending money to the poor. I don't think so. The author thinks that the subprime mortgage is mainly given to ordinary American real estate investors. These people's economic strength was only enough to buy their own house, but seeing the rapid rise of house prices, they started the idea of real estate speculation. They mortgage their houses to buy investment houses. This kind of loan interest should be above 8% - 9%, which is difficult to deal with with with their own income, but they can continue to mortgage their house to the bank, borrow money to pay the interest, and set up a white wolf empty handed. At this time, a is very happy that his investment is making money for him; B is also very happy that the market default rate is very low and the insurance business can continue to develop; C, D, e, F and so on make money
five. The subprime crisis. When the house price rises to a certain extent, it will not go up, and no one will take over the offer. At this time, real estate speculators are as anxious as ants on a hot pot. The house couldn't be sold, and the high interest kept paying. Finally, on a day when there was no way out, the house was left to the bank. At this point, a default occurs. At this time, a feels a little sorry that he can't make a lot of money, but he can't lose there. Anyway, B has insurance. B doesn't worry. Anyway, the insurance has been sold to C. So where is the CDs insurance now? It's in G's hands. G has just spent 30 billion to buy 100 CDs from F. before it has time to change hands, it suddenly received news that these CDs were downgraded, and 20 of them defaulted, far exceeding the original estimated default rate of 1% to 2%. Each default will cost $5 billion in insurance, with a total cost of $100 billion. Plus the $30 billion CDs acquisition fee, G's loss totaled $130 billion. Although G is one of the top 10 institutions in the United States, it can not afford such a huge loss. So G is on the verge of bankruptcy
six. Financial crisis. If G goes bankrupt, the insurance that a spent 500 million dollars to buy will be ruined. What's worse, because a uses leverage principle to invest, according to the previous analysis, a can't pay off all its assets. So a is in immediate danger of bankruptcy. In addition to a, there are A2, A3,..., A20, all of which should be prepared for bankruptcy. Therefore, G, a, A2,..., A20 came to the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury together and lobbied with tears. G must not go bankrupt. Once it goes bankrupt, everyone will be ruined. As soon as the Treasury secretary was soft hearted, he nationalized g. since then, the insurance of a,..., A20 totaled $100 billion, all of which were paid by American taxpayers
seven. The dollar crisis. The market price of the 100 CDs mentioned above is 30 billion. The total value of CDS market is 62 trillion. Assuming that 10% of them default, there will be 6 trillion default CDs. That's 200 times more than 30 billion. If the US government buys 30 billion CDs, it will lose 100 billion. So for the rest of the defaulting CDs, the US government will have to pay $20 trillion. If you don't pay, you have to watch A20, A21, A22 and so on close down one by one. No matter what measures are taken, a big depreciation of the US dollar is inevitable
the assumptions and figures used in the above calculation may differ from the actual situation, but the severity of the U.S. financial crisis cannot be underestimated.