The development trend of digital cryptocurrency
In the morning of March 9, 2014 Beijing time, Jared Cohen, creative director of Google, said at the Sxsw conference this week that digital cryptocurrency similar to bitcoin will exist for a long time. Cohen and Eric Schmidt, Google's chairman, promoted their co-author book the new digital age at the conference
in the past few months, bitcoin prices have fluctuated significantly. At the same time, this digital currency is strongly supported by the hacker community and is closely related to some black markets. Cohen believes that bitcoin has its value, but it will bring risks if it is not regulated
mt.gox lost $400 million worth of bitcoin, which shakes the confidence of the outside world in bitcoin. Some critics even point out that "bitcoin is dead". However, Cohen's statement is a strong support for cryptocurrency technologies such as bitcoin
bitcoin can exist only because both sides of the transaction recognize its transaction value, so anyone can independently design a virtual currency. Ars technica, for example, announced this week that it would create its own cryptocurrency, arscoin
Cohen believes that the main threat to digital cryptocurrency is how to keep it safely, and the loss of mt.gox bitcoin once again highlights this problem. Recently, the US Congress has also launched a debate on digital cryptocurrency. Some members believe that the supervision of the bitcoin should be strengthened to avoid risks. Another congressman, Jared polis, believes that the US dollar has similar defects to bitcoin, so if bitcoin is banned, then the US dollar note should also be banned
digital currency has a short history in the world, but it develops rapidly. Many countries are trying to sum up experiences and lessons through official or non-governmental efforts
take Europe as an example. In 2015, the transaction volume of digital currency in relevant European countries and regions exceeded 1 billion euro. Although the total amount is not large, it is fierce
it was reported on January 2, 2016 that the Bank of England is also considering whether to issue digital currency by the central bank, and the research work is still in the initial stage. Andy Haldane, chief economist of the Bank of England, said that switching to digital currency would be "a great technological leap forward"
DNB, Norway's largest bank, has already cancelled the cash counter service. The bank called on the government to stop using paper money completely. According to the data, only 6% of Norwegians still use cash every day, most of them the elderly. The social cost of cash payment is twice that of electronic money payment. In one day's life, the payment of bus, shopping, payment, refueling, and even parking is completed by swiping the card. Only when the children's school holds a charity sale can the banknotes be used
compared with paper money, digital currency has obvious advantages, which can not only save the cost of issuance and circulation, but also improve the efficiency of transaction or investment, and enhance the convenience and transparency of economic transaction activities. The issue of digital currency by the central bank also ensures the continuity of financial policy and the integrity of monetary policy, and also ensures the security of monetary transactions
although the issuing method of digital currency is still under study, paper currency has been regarded as "the currency of the previous generation" by some professionals, and it is the general trend to be replaced by new technologies and procts. Due to China's large population and volume, the timetable for issuing digital currency is still uncertain. It is predicted that digital currency and cash will be in parallel and graally replaced for quite a long time. When the era of digital currency really comes, people will carry less and less cash, travel more and more safe, poverty alleviation more and more accurate, corruption more and more difficult to escape, and thieves more and more difficult
1. Digital money supply:
for example, the supply of bitcoin may be limited (21 million), which is expected to be fully exploited by 2040, but even so, the availability of money will fluctuate with the speed of its entry into the market and the activities of its holders
2, the value of the digital currency: the value of the
digital money market and the expectation of its currency will affect the behavior of traders, choose to participate in a blowout market or short bubbles. p>
3. Negative reports:
any currency will be affected by the public perception, especially digital currency. Even in its heyday, its security, currency value and currency circulation have been questioned
4. Resource integration:
establishing the image of digital currency and building the confidence to defeat traditional currency depend on its integration with new payment system and crowdfunding platform
5. Instry acceptance:
bitcoin and other digital currencies have not been widely accepted by global enterprises, and the impact of placing it in a more important position in enterprises is unknown
6. Key events:
any major event, including regulatory changes, security loopholes, macroeconomic setbacks, may have a serious impact on cryptocurrency
extended data
monetary characteristics:
as a non fully circulating asset, the strong price of digital cryptocurrency must be supported by reserves; The price fluctuation depends on the real-time transaction demand of bitcoin to legal currency
the biggest feature of digital cryptocurrency is that it is global. No matter where you are, of course, the human beings in the Mars bunker outside the earth have no problem. As long as you can log on to the network, you can freely control your own assets within the scope of the global network, which is safe and convenient. The assets in an address can be controlled independently or jointly (multi signature smart contract)
unlike virtual currency, digital currency is neither bitcoin nor q-coin! That is to say, it is different from virtual currencies such as bitcoin and Ethernet
virtual currency can only be closed in circulation on the network, just like Tencent's q-coin and Huixin cloud software collaborative instry ecological chain platform, they can only be used for their own procts. Digital currency can be used for real goods and services transactions, but only the digital currency issued by the state is legal digital currency, bitcoin is illegal digital currency. As for legal digital currency, there is no unified international definition. Yao Qian, deputy director of the science and Technology Department of the people's Bank of China and head of the preparatory group of the digital currency Research Institute, believes that the digital currency researched and issued by the people's Bank of China is indexed RMB. From the perspective of national schemes, it belongs to legal encrypted digital currency, which is not only a payment tool but also a currency. Correspondingly, virtual currency is also called illegal fixed digital currency. Li Lihui, head of the blockchain working group of China Internet Finance Association, once said that digital currency must have legal status, national sovereignty endorsement, and clear responsibility subject of issuance. Virtual currencies represented by bitcoin and ethereal currency have no country, no sovereign endorsement, no qualified issuers, and no national credit support. These are not digital currencies
digital money is not equivalent to virtual currency
since digital money can be used for commodity trading, is Alipay and WeChat payment a kind of digital currency?
Alipay, WeChat payment and mobile phone banks are all electronic money, not digital money. These are all payment methods based on electronic accounts, which are in essence just a process of informatization of legal currency, not digital currency in a strict sense. For example, the amount of Alipay or WeChat transactions is essentially banknotes on bank accounts, but it is electronic form. The "100 yuan" displayed on the mobile phone will correspond to the real 100 yuan in the bank.
(edited by Huixin Yunxu)
in terms of market value, bitcoin is still the largest cryptocurrency, still ahead of the market, with a total value of about US $137 billion; When the price of bitcoin plummets, other cryptocurrencies are not immune but why should the price of bitcoin fall? In fact, there are many factors. This sharp decline began with the price of bitcoin, which began to soar last year. Even if the current price is only $8400, the price of bitcoin is about 850% higher than that of the same period last year. If you are an early investor, the profit margin is still very high
Charles Hayter, chief executive of cryptocompare, a cryptocurrency comparison platform, agreed. He believes that most of the recent regulatory measures have been positive and effective, and will & lt; Bring strict supervision and long-term stability for example, there have been several bans recently. Many mainstream banks in the United States and the United Kingdom prohibit customers from buying bitcoin through credit cards. Trevor gerszt, chief executive of coinira, a digital currency savings company, said in an email that the credit card ban & lt; It's a bad thing. It prevents low credit buyers from using cheap credit to influence the price of bitcoin& rdquo;Cryptocurrency is falling rapidly, and bitcoin is now in such a trend cycle. It's almost rising, and it will fall naturally. Why is it falling rapidly? Because the drumming on the capital market is almost over, as for who is in the hands of this flower, it depends on who is quick to get out of the position{ RRRRR}
ordinary people should not touch virtual currency. Whether it is bitcoin, which has been rising sharply before, or dog B, which has recently been claimed to be rising by 400% a year, ordinary people can't afford to play with it. It can double its price in 34 months and quadruple its price in a year. It can also fall back in half a year or even a year, when you buy it at a high price, its price will fall and it won't go back. That's the legendary cave man