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Chinese Academy of Social Sciences views on digital currency of

Publish: 2021-05-13 19:31:54
1. What are the current views of central banks on digital currency? Money is money. It's inflated now
2. The central bank is about to issue its own digital currency CBDC
3.


1. High liquidity

every good and reliable digital currency is essential. Every digital currency should have strong liquidity, not only in the scope of third-party trading platform, but also in offline entities or countries like bitcoin

Second, lower volatility

generally, volatility comes from the influence of third-party trading platform, which is similar to stock trading. Strong operators need to control the market to prevent the digital currency market from soaring or plummeting. Therefore, the volatility of a digital currency can show whether the digital currency can develop stably

Third, tradability one of the most important properties of digital currency is tradability. If a digital currency does not have tradability, the digital currency is basically useless. Only when a digital currency has tradability can it have liquidity and volatility

Fourth, the nature of decentralization digital currency has the characteristics of decentralization. Digital money is neither controlled nor manipulated by centralized entities. That is to say, no indivial or third party can obtain the user's digital currency

Fifth, the value of digital currency is increasing based on the market demand. It is not subject to government regulation or operation, which is not like legal money. The rise and fall of digital currency price depends on the transactions between users on the third-party trading platform

4. On the issue of issuing their own digital currency, central banks are always less thunderous. Central banks around the world are considering issuing their own digital currencies to compete with cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, but they have been unable to do so for a long time

the media's attention to the central bank's digital currency has increased significantly, especially after Zuckerberg testified in Congress on the Libra issue and Christina Lagarde acknowledged the "clear demand" for stable currency at her first media reception as president of the European Central Bank, which seems to have changed the public's view on this matter, Let many people in cryptocurrency community think that cbdcs is in sight<

according to the latest survey report released by the bank for International Settlements, central banks in the past seven years have been investigating this technology and assessing its impact. Of the 63 central banks surveyed, 55 said they were unlikely to issue cbdcs in the next three years, and only one reported that they were "highly likely to issue large-scale cbdcs in the next three to six years."

although the proportion of central banks studying cbdcs is very high, the crux of the problem is that it is mainly theoretical and investigative work. Only five central banks have concted more in-depth research and real project development or experimentation - but that still does not mean that they will necessarily issue cbdcs

through close observation, it is more and more obvious that both Libra recently released by Facebook and the new stable currency assets have had a significant impact on the central bank. Today's situation took hundreds of years to form, but it changed in a few months; Competition, the most terrifying and unfamiliar concept that has never been thought of before and penetrated into the elite society of central banks, is now knocking at the door

it can be said that the solution to the current situation is still unclear. Some people who are familiar with these things even say that they are bluffing. However, in Lagarde's own words, the slow and wait-and-see regulatory approach can no longer meet the needs

1. What is central bank digital currency<

what is the difference between central bank digital currency CBDC and other digital currencies

CBDC is a new form of currency, which is directly issued by the central bank in digital form as legal tender. The current form of legal currency is cash, reserve deposit or balance settlement< There are two main differences between CBDC and other digital currencies (including cryptocurrency and other forms of central bank currency):

1. CBDC has nothing to do with cryptoassets. They're not decentralized, they don't have to be blockchain based, and they're certainly not anonymous, they're not unlicensed, they're not censored< 2. Contrary to the current digital cash, the operation structure of CBDC will be different from other forms of central bank currency. CBDC has more powerful functions. They are programmable, can generate interest, can be cleared in near real time, and have cheaper handling charges and wider openness

when designing CBDC, the speed of central banks is different. Different central banks adopt their own approach. However, in general, there are three problems being explored: whether CBDC should be based on token or account number, whether CBDC should be batch (only open to banks) or retail (open to the public), and whether it should be based on DLT

when CBDC is to be implemented, things will become complicated, and there are many thorny problems to be considered

for example, once CBDC is launched, does it need to cancel cash? Should CBDC carry interest? Should they have face value like cash? Or linked to the total price index? What impact will this have on commercial banks? What about anonymity and privacy? All these questions need to be answered<

2. Motivation for issuing CBDC

in the 2017 staff discussion paper, the Bank of Canada gave six reasons for issuing CBDC in an article entitled "central bank digital currency: motivation and impact":

1. Ensure that the central bank provides sufficient cash to the public, and maintain the seigniorage revenue of the central bank

2, Support non-traditional monetary policy

3. Rece overall risk and improve financial stability

4. Improve payment competitiveness

5. Promote financial inclusiveness

6. Curb criminal activities

looking back at the bank for International Settlements survey we analyzed earlier, payment security and domestic efficiency are selected as the most important motives of the central bank. According to a large number of papers published by the central bank and other large financial institutions, for developed countries, the transformation into a cashless society is the main driving factor, while for developing countries, financial inclusiveness, cost rection and operational efficiency are the main motivation

throughout the rest of the reports and the literature that can be found, the fierce competition brought about by bitcoin and other innovations in the cryptocurrency instry, as well as the clear need for "one step ahead", of course, are not listed as the reasons for issuing CBDC< The advantages and potential risks of CBDC are very low.

if the central bank starts to launch CBDC and succeeds in the end, there are many potential benefits

from a technical point of view, CBDC is much better than the current form of legal currency. They can be tracked better, collect taxes more conveniently, transmit monetary policy better, have better financial inclusiveness, and rece the cost of procing physical currency

the most obvious advantage is that payment is cheaper and faster, whether it is domestic payment or cross-border payment

in addition to the design and implementation problems, a key problem of issuing CBDC is that CBDC may increase the risk of bank operation. However, this only happens when banks promise that their deposits can be converted into CBDC on demand, which is not necessarily the case, according to the Bank of England document

4. Facts on the ground

how far is it from us to see a real CBDC appear in the market? It's hard to estimate, but at present, we can sum up the current situation in one sentence: all talk but no practice

if we put aside the failed digital currencies of Ecuador, Tunisia and Venezuela, we can only do theoretical research, a small amount of experiments, and issue some feasible CBDC issuance announcements supported by the state in the future

the most famous CBDC projects in progress are: e-peso in Uruguay (the project was successfully tested in 2018), DCEP in China, "project Inthanon" in Thailand, e-krona in Sweden (still in the research stage)...

5. The revolution has not yet been successful, and comrades still need to work hard

considering the factors mentioned above, Most of the headlines about CBDC's upcoming release are groundless. All projects scheled to be released this year have been delayed

in fact, there is still a long way to go for the birth of CBDC, and to convince the public, we need more than a statement. Given the current situation, it seems that CBDC and other cryptocurrencies may not affect each other - at least for now.
5.

There is no consistent definition of direct banking in China. In general, direct banking is a way that banks break the traditional counter business and can directly handle business on the Internet in order to attract more users and facilitate the use of customers. Users can handle business through web pages, mobile terminals, etc, Save a lot of waiting time for both sides. The business philosophy of this mode is to develop towards faster and more convenient business processing, which greatly reces the time and energy spent by users in banking business processing. Compared with the traditional banks in the past, direct banks mainly have the advantages of strong network dependence, accurate business procts, low cost, convenient and fast, but the relative strong network dependence is also a major factor hindering the development of direct banks. These characteristics make the transaction process of direct bank very simple, operation time is short, the staff is reced a lot, the use of fixed equipment and original procts is reced a lot, and the cost is greatly reced, which is an innovation for the bank to survive in the increasingly fierce competition

There are four trends in the development of direct banking

Technology enables the development of direct banking. The application of cloud computing, big data, artificial intelligence, blockchain and other new generation information technology will fundamentally change the operation mode of direct banking, improve service efficiency and level, and rece service cost. The specific ways are mainly reflected in the following aspects. One is to further improve user experience and service efficiency by introcing new technologies such as machine learning, virtual reality and biometrics; Second, through cloud computing, distributed architecture and other solutions, reconstruct the infrastructure deployment mode, rece operating costs, and build the ability to serve a large number of customers; The third is to use big data to improve the level of risk control, anti fraud, proct pricing, precision marketing, intelligent investment consulting, etc. In addition, blockchain and other technologies can provide strong support for the new financial transaction mode

In the process of using financial technology, on the one hand, direct banks should grasp the development trend of financial technology, and lay out the field of financial technology by strengthening talent reserve and technology accumulation, and communicating and cooperating with third parties. In the process of continuously enhancing the ability of self-control of core technologies and optimizing and improving the efficiency of the overall science and technology system, we should carry out learning and Research on emerging frontier technologies, apply innovation, cultivate data thinking, establish cooperation mechanisms between internal and external parties, and strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation with frontier high-tech enterprises in big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, blockchain, etc, Innovative laboratories such as intelligent risk control and precision marketing can be set up in the form of joint construction, and innovative projects can be researched and implemented to build an intelligent financial technology system with strong cloud computing and big data processing capabilities. On the other hand, it is necessary to build a standardized open business platform, formulate standardized cooperation docking process, build a standardized merchant cooperation platform system integrating docking, joint debugging, testing, online and operation management, quickly and efficiently promote technology docking and financial services standardized output, and use scientific and technological means to improve business capacity

2. The development strategy of platform will become the priority of direct banks in the future. In recent years, platform economy is rising rapidly. Among the top 10 companies with global market value in 2017, platform enterprises occupy as many as six seats, namely apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon, Alibaba and Tencent. Platform economy has become a worldwide trend business model and a new economic development paradigm, which has promoted the major changes in proction and lifestyle, and has increasingly become an important part of social economy

for commercial banks, the rapid development of platform economy has brought both opportunities and challenges. Platform enterprises gather a large number of merchants and customers. Merchants and customers have financial service needs. The platform has financial cross-border cooperation, data commercialization, business compliance and other needs, which puts forward new requirements for the traditional customer acquisition and service mode of commercial banks. The platform has rich resources such as business flow, logistics and capital flow, and is an important customer group of commercial banks

direct banking service platform will become the future trend. Through the construction of financial service intermediary platform, the direct bank realizes the integration of basic procts and services of the bank, interbank, non interbank and other institutions in the proct end, and creates the financial cloud of wealth management, network financing, payment and settlement, big data services. In terms of customer service, it will realize the integration of platform enterprises, small and medium-sized enterprises on the platform, small and medium-sized enterprises on the platform Comprehensive and comprehensive services for consumers on the platform



in the face of different platforms in the fields of consumption, instry and government affairs, the strategies of financial intermediary service platform constructed by banks are also different, which can be built according to three modes

(1) for those related fields that have not yet formed a platform for aggregation and specialization, direct banks can integrate internal and external resources, open up key nodes through self construction, M & A, investment and other forms, and build an in-house financial intermediary service platform to cover the whole scene of subdivided instries. Taking the acquisition of auto home by Ping An Trust in 2016 as an example, auto home, as a domestic auto vertical professional media, will not only obtain strong support from Ping An Group in terms of capital, but also become an important part of building an all-round auto service ecosystem for Ping An group. To build a platform model, it is generally necessary to rely on the resources of the group or parent bank to form a synergy of public and retail business; In addition, banks need to define their own service boundary, avoid large and comprehensive platform, resulting in excessive resource investment, and it is difficult to meet the personalized needs

(2) if a specialized platform has been formed in relevant fields, or the platform has not extended to the financial field e to regulatory requirements, direct banks can export financial procts and services through docking with such platforms

(3) the relevant fields have formed monopolistic resource integrators, and the services have been extended to the financial field, so it is difficult for banks to build their own platform to let the participants settle in. The relatively feasible solution for direct banks is to provide funds and financial services to the platform

3. Service scenario. In the future, direct banking procts will be a standardized proct that can be easily embedded into various financial scenarios. According to the view of a bank's senior financial practitioners, it is financial media. In the future, Internet banking and direct banking will become media tools for a bank to carry out mobile financial transformation. In the Internet dimension space, Internet banking and direct banking will become media tools, As a medium like air, it permeates into various scenes of financial services

4. Independent organizational structure. Most foreign direct banks adopt the independent legal person business model, and China's direct banks will graally develop in the direction of independence. With the official opening of Baixin bank, the first independent legal person direct bank in China, several independent legal person direct banks may be approved. The independent organizational structure of direct bank will have a positive impact on proct innovation, risk isolation from parent bank, mobilization of team enthusiasm, cost accounting, customer management, science and technology development mechanism, etc

In the process of independent corporatization of direct banking, the introction of external strategic investors will become one of the options. Through the introction of strategic investors, the capital strength can be improved. At the same time, through the docking with shareholders' resources, technology, scene, etc., the construction and development ability of direct banking ecology can be rapidly improved, and the coordination and win-win between direct banking and shareholders can be realized

6. Digital currency is very popular with the central bank. The central bank has been studying digital currency for a long time. The central bank's version of digital currency has been revised twice, and the issue of digital currency by the central bank has become a certainty< At present, the digital currency issued by the central bank is mainly to replace the physical cash, rece the cost of traditional paper currency issuance and circulation, and improve the convenience and transparency of economic transactions. In general, the central bank will fully consider the existing monetary policy regulation, money supply and creation mechanism, and monetary policy transmission channels when designing digital currency
unlike virtual currencies such as bitcoin, central bank digital currency is a legal currency issued by the central bank, encrypted and supported by national credit. The media mentioned that at present, the research and development of the prototype system of legal digital currency is in progress. As for when to launch China's legal digital currency, Yao Qian said that there is no timetable Netease)
it is certain that the advent of the central bank's version of digital currency will have a great impact on cryptocurrencies such as special currency and Leyte currency. In the future, the form of these digital currencies may graally evolve, just like the tokens launched by the European crowdfunding platform, as a kind of asset certificate.
7. Drive north from the bus station to the turntable of the national land building and go straight West
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