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Central bank governor's early investment in digital currency

Publish: 2021-05-29 11:50:02
1.

On November 9, 2019, the central bank has not launched digital currency

in 2014, the Central Bank of China set up a special research team to conct in-depth research on the framework of digital currency issuance and business operation, key technologies of digital currency, issuance and circulation environment, and legal issues

in January 2017, the central bank officially established the digital currency Research Institute in Shenzhen

in September 2018, the Institute of digital currency built a trade finance blockchain platform

On July 8, 2019, at the launching ceremony of the digital finance open research program and the first academic seminar, Wang Xin, director of the Research Bureau of the people's Bank of China, disclosed that the State Council has officially approved the research and development of the central bank's digital currency, and the central bank is engaged in corresponding work in organizing market institutions

extended data:

benefits of digital currency

the digitalization of central bank's currency helps to optimize the central bank's monetary payment function, improve the central bank's monetary status and the effectiveness of monetary policy. The central bank's digital currency can become an interest bearing asset to meet the holder's reserve demand for safe assets, and can also become the lower limit of bank deposit interest rate. It can also become a new monetary policy tool

at the same time, the central bank can affect the bank deposit and loan interest rate by adjusting the digital currency interest rate of the central bank, and help to break the zero interest rate lower limit


2. On the issue of issuing their own digital currency, central banks are always less thunderous. Central banks around the world are considering issuing their own digital currencies to compete with cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, but they have been unable to do so for a long time

the media's attention to the central bank's digital currency has increased significantly, especially after Zuckerberg testified in Congress on the Libra issue and Christina Lagarde acknowledged the "clear demand" for stable currency at her first media reception as president of the European Central Bank, which seems to have changed the public's view on this matter, Let many people in cryptocurrency community think that cbdcs is in sight<

according to the latest survey report released by the bank for International Settlements, central banks in the past seven years have been investigating this technology and assessing its impact. Of the 63 central banks surveyed, 55 said they were unlikely to issue cbdcs in the next three years, and only one reported that they were "highly likely to issue large-scale cbdcs in the next three to six years."

although the proportion of central banks studying cbdcs is very high, the crux of the problem is that it is mainly theoretical and investigative work. Only five central banks have concted more in-depth research and real project development or experimentation - but that still does not mean that they will necessarily issue cbdcs

through close observation, it is more and more obvious that both Libra recently released by Facebook and the new stable currency assets have had a significant impact on the central bank. Today's situation took hundreds of years to form, but it changed in a few months; Competition, the most terrifying and unfamiliar concept that has never been thought of before and penetrated into the elite society of central banks, is now knocking at the door

it can be said that the solution to the current situation is still unclear. Some people who are familiar with these things even say that they are bluffing. However, in Lagarde's own words, the slow and wait-and-see regulatory approach can no longer meet the needs

1. What is central bank digital currency<

what is the difference between central bank digital currency CBDC and other digital currencies

CBDC is a new form of currency, which is directly issued by the central bank in digital form as legal tender. The current form of legal currency is cash, reserve deposit or balance settlement< There are two main differences between CBDC and other digital currencies (including cryptocurrency and other forms of central bank currency):

1. CBDC has nothing to do with cryptoassets. They're not decentralized, they don't have to be blockchain based, and they're certainly not anonymous, they're not unlicensed, they're not censored< 2. Contrary to the current digital cash, the operation structure of CBDC will be different from other forms of central bank currency. CBDC has more powerful functions. They are programmable, can generate interest, can be cleared in near real time, and have cheaper handling charges and wider openness

when designing CBDC, the speed of central banks is different. Different central banks adopt their own approach. However, in general, there are three problems being explored: whether CBDC should be based on token or account number, whether CBDC should be batch (only open to banks) or retail (open to the public), and whether it should be based on DLT

when CBDC is to be implemented, things will become complicated, and there are many thorny problems to be considered

for example, once CBDC is launched, does it need to cancel cash? Should CBDC carry interest? Should they have face value like cash? Or linked to the total price index? What impact will this have on commercial banks? What about anonymity and privacy? All these questions need to be answered<

2. Motivation for issuing CBDC

in the 2017 staff discussion paper, the Bank of Canada gave six reasons for issuing CBDC in an article entitled "central bank digital currency: motivation and impact":

1. Ensure that the central bank provides sufficient cash to the public, and maintain the seigniorage revenue of the central bank

2, Support non-traditional monetary policy

3. Rece overall risk and improve financial stability

4. Improve payment competitiveness

5. Promote financial inclusiveness

6. Curb criminal activities

looking back at the bank for International Settlements survey we analyzed earlier, payment security and domestic efficiency are selected as the most important motives of the central bank. According to a large number of papers published by the central bank and other large financial institutions, for developed countries, the transformation into a cashless society is the main driving factor, while for developing countries, financial inclusiveness, cost rection and operational efficiency are the main motivation

throughout the rest of the reports and the literature that can be found, the fierce competition brought about by bitcoin and other innovations in the cryptocurrency instry, as well as the clear need for "one step ahead", of course, are not listed as the reasons for issuing CBDC< The advantages and potential risks of CBDC are very low.

if the central bank starts to launch CBDC and succeeds in the end, there are many potential benefits

from a technical point of view, CBDC is much better than the current form of legal currency. They can be tracked better, collect taxes more conveniently, transmit monetary policy better, have better financial inclusiveness, and rece the cost of procing physical currency

the most obvious advantage is that payment is cheaper and faster, whether it is domestic payment or cross-border payment

in addition to the design and implementation problems, a key problem of issuing CBDC is that CBDC may increase the risk of bank operation. However, this only happens when banks promise that their deposits can be converted into CBDC on demand, which is not necessarily the case, according to the Bank of England document

4. Facts on the ground

how far is it from us to see a real CBDC appear in the market? It's hard to estimate, but at present, we can sum up the current situation in one sentence: all talk but no practice

if we put aside the failed digital currencies of Ecuador, Tunisia and Venezuela, we can only do theoretical research, a small amount of experiments, and issue some feasible CBDC issuance announcements supported by the state in the future

the most famous CBDC projects in progress are: e-peso in Uruguay (the project was successfully tested in 2018), DCEP in China, "project Inthanon" in Thailand, e-krona in Sweden (still in the research stage)...

5. The revolution has not yet been successful, and comrades still need to work hard

considering the factors mentioned above, Most of the headlines about CBDC's upcoming release are groundless. All projects scheled to be released this year have been delayed

in fact, there is still a long way to go for the birth of CBDC, and to convince the public, we need more than a statement. Given the current situation, it seems that CBDC and other cryptocurrencies may not affect each other - at least for now.
3. No matter from personal point of view or from Yi Gang's point of view, regarding digital monetary policy, from the standpoint of the central bank, it has revealed:
first, to maintain the continuity of monetary policy, not to release water, not to shrink abruptly
Second, it will not change the fact that bitcoin is not legally recognized
thirdly, strengthen supervision, pay attention to safety and maintain stable and neutral development
Fourth, to serve the development of the real economy
considering the consistent policy of the Chinese government on digital currency, maintaining stability and continuity should be the current orientation and trend< In addition, although Yi Gang pointed out at the Boao Forum for Asia that he would take a strict attitude towards digital currency, it does not mean that he will stop studying digital currency. At present, the central bank is studying how digital currency can serve the real economy in a better form, develop safely in the best form and avoid possible negative effects, Let digital currency serve the economy better
in spite of stricter supervision, it is still believed that the central bank will adopt a combination of easing and blocking measures for the development of digital currency in the future.
4. The issue of digital currency has many benefits and is imperative. According to the central bank, digital money and paper money will coexist for a long time to come. When people go to the bank to withdraw money, they can not only withdraw cash directly, but also exchange it into digital currency. In Xiaobian's opinion, the establishment and issuance of digital currency system can not only make people's transactions more convenient and safe, but also graally weaken the proportion of paper money in the real circulation, which will also have a positive impact on the electronic disk of postal money card
when people are used to digital currency, paper money will graally withdraw from the circulation market and enter the collection field. In the new environment of payment and circulation, the traditional paper money will become a symbol of an era and a memory of people. The paper money that used to circulate in the market will also become a kind of cultural and artistic investment goods, active on the electronic disk of the post money card. And those earlier and even rarer coins will also stimulate their prices to rise in this situation. It can be seen that the central bank's graal promotion of digital currency will have a profound impact on people's living habits and investment and financial management, which is worth looking forward to Sohu)
however, digital currency does not have to be used for payment. Some domestic application-oriented digital currencies have begun to find another shortcut and come out with a different truth. For example, coin Ying China crowdfunding project token; Puyin group launched the tea based digital currency Puyin.
5. At the Boao Forum for Asia held in April this year, Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the central bank, said that since digital currency is not the currency initiated and approved by the central bank, it is impossible to ban it. Digital currency belongs to digital assets, which can be freely traded between indivials. Therefore, digital currency is not MLM, not capital disk, but a kind of financial investment
6. In fact, the central bank has been studying digital currency for a long time. From the perspective of historical development trend, money has always evolved with the development of technological progress and economic activities. From the early physical money, commodity money to the later credit money, it is a natural choice to adapt to the development of human commercial society. As the currency of the previous generation, paper money has low technology content. From the perspective of safety and cost, it is the general trend to be replaced by new technology and new procts. In particular, with the development of the Internet and the great changes in payment methods all over the world, the establishment of digital currency issuance and circulation system is very necessary for the construction of financial infrastructure and the promotion of economic quality, efficiency and upgrading.
7. It seems that there is no other way to play, like bitcoin and so on, all use mining machine
8. The name of research and development used by the central bank is DCEP, which is actually electronic payment. What is paid is digital, not paper money. Digital money also has monetary properties. The study of digital currency is not to realize the application of a certain technical solution, but to pursue the convenience and low cost of retail payment system, as well as security and privacy protection
at present, there are many comments on digital currency, criticizing that digital currency is not applied in retail payment, but in virtual asset trading, which is not in line with the direction of our financial assets serving the real economy. Therefore, we need not be too anxious in this regard, steady and orderly research and development, focusing on serving the real economy, recing costs and preventing excessive speculation
at present, bitcoin, Ethereum and wikilink, which are popular in the market, are actually not liked by the central bank and are highly speculative.
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