RSI digital currency
At 17:40 on August 17, okcoin showed that the price of bitcoin once again broke through a record high of 30000 yuan. This morning, the opening price of bitcoin was 27981 yuan. After the opening, the price of bitcoin climbed all the way up, with an increase of over 7% on the same day. In just one month, the price of bitcoin has risen by 130%
however, for the sharp rise of the above-mentioned digital currency, a number of instry platforms are still cautious and think that investors should pay attention to investment risks
the concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto in 2009. According to Nakamoto's ideas, open source software was designed and released, and P2P network was built on it. Bitcoin is a kind of P2P digital currency. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system
unlike most currencies, bitcoin does not rely on specific currency institutions. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on specific algorithms. Bitcoin economy uses the distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses the design of cryptography to ensure the security of all aspects of currency circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity. The monetary system used to have no more than 10.5 million in four years, after which the total number will be permanently limited to 21 million
bitcoin can be cashed and converted into the currency of most countries. Users can use bitcoin to buy some virtual items, such as clothes, hats and equipment in online games. As long as someone accepts it, they can also use bitcoin to buy real-life items
on February 26, 2014, Joe Manchin, a Democratic senator from West Virginia, issued an open letter to a number of regulatory authorities of the US federal government, hoping that the relevant authorities would pay attention to the status quo of bitcoin's encouraging illegal activities and disrupting the financial order, and demanded that actions be taken as soon as possible to completely ban the electronic currency
from 12:00 noon on January 24, 2017, China's three major bitcoin platforms officially began to collect transaction fees
everyone's understanding and expectation of making money are different, which can be roughly divided into conservative type, steady type and radical type
conservative ideas will be associated with the interest rates of banks and yu'ebao. It is a little bit more to keep the principal
the representative of the steady type is the fund, with gains and losses
many people are radical and tend to put profit in the first place and ignore risk. Now it's not a popular saying that we make money by luck and lose money by strength
summary: if you want to make money, you still need some professional knowledge to support, plan the principal well, make a set of trading strategies that are in line with your own,
use a long time to measure the income and avoid negative emotions. The original intention of making money is to live a better life, and don't destroy your original life because of emotional fluctuations
have better ideas to share with the author
at present, it is very popular to speculate in gold and foreign exchange. High income will inevitably lead to high risks. Novices must not be blind in speculation in foreign exchange. They must not think of shortcuts. I think we should do a good job in technology. That's the real thing
novices should make the following preparations before investing. For beginners, you can avoid detours
1. Don't listen to what laohuiyou said. You don't need to read books or technical data. You can stir fry more. I think beginners should learn some basic knowledge about foreign exchange, such as whether you know what the K-line is, what the pressure line is, how to use the template, how to use the five moving average, and so on
2. The candle curve is a foreign exchange Bible. It is recommended that you read this book
3. Look at the data, nothing is more convincing and learning than the data. Communicate with the experts in the group
4. One time investment, don't invest in the early stage, and you don't need to invest, because you can apply for simulation account. When you have the feeling of simulation, you are going to invest
5. Choose the mainstream platform, don't touch the platform, all the people in the box are new people. I don't believe in anything else
in addition, it is recommended to choose the first level agent whose platform must be subject to FSA supervision, because the financial law in the UK is the most stringent, the capital flow is also rigorous, and we have a sense of security for our funds
6. Think of gold speculation as financial management, not speculation. I feel that this is a direction of financial management. People who want to do financial management, investment, not speculation, speculation are gamblers
7. That's right. If you are a novice, you can register foreign exchange simulation account first, and register for free first. Look at the simulation of foreign exchange speculation is so speculation, slowly you understand
first, the monetary policy of the country
the influence of monetary policy on the exchange rate is mainly realized through the change of money supply and interest rate. If a government implements expansionary monetary policy, increases money supply and reces interest rate, the exchange rate of its currency will fall. On the contrary, if the government adopts tight monetary policy and raises interest rate e to inflation pressure, the exchange rate of its currency will rise. The exchange rate policy orientation of the central bank will also have an impact on the exchange rate of the local currency< In the long run, a country's financial and economic situation is the basic factor that affects its currency's external price ratio. If a country's fiscal revenue and expenditure or economic situation improves, the value of the currency will increase, and the currency will appreciate against foreign currencies; If a country's economic situation deteriorates or its fiscal deficit increases, the value represented by the currency will decrease, and the currency will depreciate against the foreign currency. Generally speaking, the impact of financial and economic conditions on the value of domestic currency is relatively slow< 3. Gross domestic proct (GDP)
gross domestic proct, the English name is gross domestic proct, which is usually abbreviated as GDP. GDP is the total value of all the final procts and services proced by a country in a certain period of time. It is the most basic and important economic indicators. If the gross domestic proct (GDP) increases sharply, it indicates that the country's economy is developing vigorously, the national income is increasing, and the consumption power is also increasing. The government may raise the interest rate and tighten the money supply, then the exchange rate of its currency will rise; On the contrary, if there is a negative growth in GDP, it means that the country's proction is weakening, the economy is in recession, and the consumption capacity is declining. In this case, the government may lower the interest rate to stimulate economic growth, and the exchange rate of its currency will also decline< 4. Inflation is also an important factor affecting the exchange rate. There are many economic indicators reflecting inflation, such as:
(1), consumer price index (CPI). CPI mainly reflects the price of goods and services paid by urban consumers, and is widely used to reflect inflation. When the consumer price index rises, it shows that the inflation rate rises, and the country will implement tight monetary policy and raise interest rates to benefit the country's currency; If inflation is under control, interest rates may also tend to fall, which will weaken the country's currency< (2) procer price index (PPI). Procer price index mainly reflects the proction cost of goods, that is, the price change of raw materials. It is used to measure the price change of various goods in different proction stages. If the procer price index is higher than expected, there is the possibility of inflation, and the relevant departments will implement a tight monetary policy. In this case, the exchange rate of the country's currency may rise; But if the authorities concerned, for other reasons, do not tighten monetary policy, the exchange rate of the country's currency may fall< (3) retail price index (RPI) refers to the change of market retail price, which is another indicator of a country's inflation. When a country's social economy is booming and personal consumption is increasing, it may lead to the rise of the retail price index, and the continuous rise of the index will bring the pressure of inflation, which makes the government tighten the money supply and the currency exchange rate of the country rise; On the contrary, the decline of retail data indicates that consumption is weakened, economic development is stagnant and the country's currency is diluted
(4) wholesale price index
wholesale price index reflects the change of wholesale price, and its content is basically the same as that of retail price index. In the absence of retail price index, wholesale price index can be used to replace the analysis of inflation, and its impact on exchange rate is basically the same as that of retail price index< 5. Other important data in the economic news affecting the fluctuation of foreign exchange market, the monthly or quarterly economic statistics released by governments are also very important. Here are some important economic data (note that we only make a simple analysis on the application of the following data in the foreign exchange market. In practice, the economic role and influence of the data itself are much more complex.)< (1) employment report is a barometer of a country's economic development. The better the economic development is, the more employment opportunities will be provided, and the number of employees will increase accordingly. Therefore, the increase in the number of employees reflects the vigorous development of a country's economy. The employment report is known as the "crown jewel" of all the economic indicators that the foreign exchange market can respond to. It is the most sensitive monthly economic indicator in the market, Such as the well-known non farm employment data of the United States. If the employment data is strong, it indicates that the country's economic development is in good condition, indicating that the interest rate will rise, thus promoting the value of the country's currency; On the contrary, if the employment data is weak, it indicates that the country's economic development is slowing down and the country's currency is diluted< (2) the number of non-agricultural employment is an important item in the employment report, which mainly reflects the changes of the number of employees except those engaged in agricultural proction, and usually mainly reflects the employment situation of service instry and manufacturing instry. If the non-agricultural data is strong, it shows that the country's economic development is good, which is concive to the appreciation of the country's currency; On the contrary, if the number of non-agricultural employment declines, it indicates that the country's economy is in a state of contraction, and the country's currency will be diluted. The most influential foreign exchange market is the U.S. non farm employment data released at the beginning of each month< (3) the unemployment rate
reflects the number of workers who are willing to work but still not working in a certain period of time, which is also an integral part of the employment report. The unemployment rate is a good indicator of a country's economic development. If the unemployment rate drops, it indicates that the country's economic development is in good condition, indicating that the interest rate will rise, which is good for the country's currency; On the contrary, if the loss rate rises, it indicates that the country's economy is in a state of contraction and the country's currency is diluted< (4) the number of people applying for unemployment benefits
the number of people applying for unemployment benefits reflects the situation of the domestic labor market. Under normal circumstances, if the number of applicants increases significantly, it means that the labor market of the country is depressed, the economy is in a state of contraction, and the currency of the country is diluted; On the contrary, it will benefit the country's currency
(5) leading indicator, also known as leading indicator or leading indicator, is one of the most important economic indicators to predict the future economic development. If the leading index drops for three consecutive months, it indicates that the economy is about to enter a recession; If it rises for three consecutive months, it means that the economy is about to prosper or continue to expand. Generally speaking, if the leading indicator rises continuously, it will push the currency stronger, if the leading indicator falls continuously, it will push the currency weaker< (6) consumer confidence index
the consumer confidence index reflects consumers' views on the economy and their consumption intention. Through this data, we can know the degree of consumers' confidence in the current national economic environment. Generally speaking, if the data rises, it indicates that the consumer will increase, which is good for the country's economy and also good for the country's currency; On the contrary, it will weaken the country's currency< As the name suggests, Michigan consumer confidence index is a confidence index obtained by University of Michigan researchers through regular surveys of consumers' views on personal financial status and national economic status. Generally speaking, if the data rises, it means that the consumption increases and the economy strengthens, which is good for the country's currency; On the contrary, if the confidence index drops, it means that consumption will shrink and the country's currency will be diluted< (8) trade deficit means that a country's total import is greater than its export, which reflects the commodity trade between countries and is also an important indicator to judge the macro-economic operation, usually called trade deficit. If a country has a trade deficit, it must sell its own currency to buy another country's currency to pay the import debt. In this way, the national income will flow out of foreign countries, weakening the country's economic performance. In order to improve this situation, the government will devalue its currency, rece the price of export goods, and improve the competitiveness of export procts. Therefore, when the country's foreign trade deficit expands, it will dilute the country's currency; On the contrary, when there is a foreign trade surplus, the currency will appreciate if it is good for the country's currency. At present, western countries, especially the United States, want RMB appreciation. China's trade surplus with western countries is a very important factor< The current account is the main item in a country's income and expenditure statement, which records the outflow and inflow of capital between a country and foreign countries, including the import and export of goods and services, investment income, income from other goods and services, and other factors. Generally speaking, if a country's current account deficit expands, its currency will depreciate; On the contrary, if the surplus expands, the country's currency will appreciate. In the foreign exchange market, the current account data of the United States has a great influence on the market< (10) net capital inflow
net capital inflow mainly refers to the net inflow of foreign investors when they purchase a national debt, stocks and other securities. Generally, the more net capital inflows, the more likely the country's currency will appreciate; On the contrary, if the capital inflow data decline, indicating that the country's economy is not attractive, it will be bad for the country's currency. In the foreign exchange market, the data of net capital inflow from the United States has a great impact on the market<
(11) and purchasing manager index
purchasing management index are used to measure the manufacturing instry's status in eight areas: proction, new orders, commodity prices, inventory, employees, order delivery, new export orders and imports. Usually, if the index is higher than 50%, it is interpreted as a signal of economic expansion, which is good for the country's currency; When the index is below 50%, especially very close to 40%, there are worries about economic depression, which is bad for the country's currency. According to the past experience, the market pays more attention to the U.S. PMI, and tends to speculate the national PMI data based on the performance of the Chicago PMI. Therefore, the Chicago PMI is often the focus of the market
(12) ism index
ism index is an important data published by the Institute for supply management, which has an important impact on reflecting the economic prosperity of the United States and the trend of the US dollar. Ism index is divided into manufacturing index and non manufacturing index:
①: ism manufacturing index is composed of a series of sub indexes, usually with 50 as the critical point. If it is higher than 50, it is considered that the manufacturing instry is in the state of expansion, which benefits the US dollar. If it is lower than 50, it means that the manufacturing instry is shrinking, which benefits the US dollar
②: ism non manufacturing index reflects the prosperity of non manufacturing business activities in the United States. When its value is more than 50 in a row, it indicates that non manufacturing activities are expanding and prices are rising, which often indicates that the overall economy is in an expanding state and is good for the US dollar; On the contrary, when the
Economic indicators: GDP growth rate, CPI, PMI
2, technical indicators: MACD, KDJ, CCI, boll, MDI
3, monetary liquidity: M1, M2, treasury bond repurchase, deposit reserve, interest rate, qe3 quantitative easing and so on
4, instry indicators: financial indicators, manufacturing indicators
5 Peripheral (related): commodities, futures, U.S. stocks, Nikkei, Hong Kong stocks, French stock index, German stock index, exchange rate market
6, policy orientation: financial reform, emission rection and consumption rection
7, financial indicators: P / b ratio, P / E ratio, provident fund, annual earnings per share
8 Risk events (related): natural and man-made disasters
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extended data
indicators refer to units or methods for measuring objectives. Stock index belongs to the category of statistics. According to certain mathematical statistics methods, using some complex calculation formulas, we can prove the analysis methods of stock trend, trading and so on with data. There are momentum index, relative strength index, random index and so on
because the above analysis often needs the support of certain computer software, it is only a general understanding for the investors of indivial firm offer trading. However, it is worth mentioning that technical index analysis is a very important exchange rate analysis and forecasting tool for professional foreign exchange traders in the international foreign exchange market. The emerging e-spot market also has some similar indicators, which are introced in e-spot home
psychological line mainly studies the psychological trend of investors, and converts the psychological fact that investors tend to the buyer or seller in a certain period into numerical value to form a sentiment index, so as to judge the future trend of stock price. Generally, 12 days is the short-term investment index and 24 days is the medium-term investment index
application rule:
1. Before a rising market starts, the low point of oversold usually appears twice. Similarly, a period of decline before the launch of the market, overbought the highest point will appear twice
2, psychological line index between 25 and 75 is a reasonable range, this interval belongs to the normal distribution
When3, more than 75 or less than 25, there will be overbought or oversold phenomenon
4. When it is lower than 10, it is a real oversold, the chance of rebound is relatively higher, and this is the time to buy
5. Two times of high density is a sell signal, and two times of low density is a buy signal
The combination of psychological line and volume ratio (VR) to determine the short-term trading point can find out the high and low points of each wave1. Opening price
also known as opening price, refers to the first transaction price per share of a certain security after the opening of the stock exchange on each trading day. Most stock exchanges in the world adopt the principle of maximum turnover to determine the opening price
2. Closing price
means that the closing price of Shanghai stock market is the weighted average trading volume of all transactions one minute before the last trading of the security on that day (including the last trading). If there is no transaction on that day, the previous closing price shall be the closing price on that day
3, short jump
after the stock price is affected by the positive or negative, there is a significant jump phenomenon. When the stock price rises under the influence of bullish, the opening price or the lowest price of the day in the exchange is more than two declaration units higher than the closing price of the previous day, which is called "jump up"
4. Bottom hunting means an operation strategy in which the stock price falls to the lowest point, especially when it falls sharply in a short period of time, and the stock price is expected to rebound soon. But there is no clear standard for what kind of price is "the cheapest", or "the bottom"
5. Concept stock
refers to the stock with special connotation, which is opposite to performance stock. Performance stocks need good performance support. And the concept of stock is to rely on a certain theme, such as the concept of asset restructuring, the concept of three links to support the price