Digital currency comprehensive report

1.

China's digital currency pilot project has begun to be in a leading position in the world. This achievement shows that China's digital currency is beginning to develop continuously, and the scale is also expanding. More and more instries begin to feel the convenience it brings us through digital currency. I believe that as long as we maintain this trend well, in the next ten years, China's digital currency will be fully popularized in China, reaching a more advanced, safer and more comprehensive level{ RRRRR}

at present, China's digital currency is becoming more and more convenient and safe because of the participation of each of us. What we use digital currency brings us is the security of our property. Everyone of us should believe that in the next few years, our digital currency will be popularized and developed in an all-round way

2. On the issue of issuing their own digital currency, central banks are always less thunderous. Central banks around the world are considering issuing their own digital currencies to compete with cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, but they have been unable to do so for a long time

the media's attention to the central bank's digital currency has increased significantly, especially after Zuckerberg testified in Congress on the Libra issue and Christina Lagarde acknowledged the "clear demand" for stable currency at her first media reception as president of the European Central Bank, which seems to have changed the public's view on this matter, Let many people in cryptocurrency community think that cbdcs is in sight<

according to the latest survey report released by the bank for International Settlements, central banks in the past seven years have been investigating this technology and assessing its impact. Of the 63 central banks surveyed, 55 said they were unlikely to issue cbdcs in the next three years, and only one reported that they were "highly likely to issue large-scale cbdcs in the next three to six years."

although the proportion of central banks studying cbdcs is very high, the crux of the problem is that it is mainly theoretical and investigative work. Only five central banks have concted more in-depth research and real project development or experimentation - but that still does not mean that they will necessarily issue cbdcs

through close observation, it is more and more obvious that both Libra recently released by Facebook and the new stable currency assets have had a significant impact on the central bank. Today's situation took hundreds of years to form, but it changed in a few months; Competition, the most terrifying and unfamiliar concept that has never been thought of before and penetrated into the elite society of central banks, is now knocking at the door

it can be said that the solution to the current situation is still unclear. Some people who are familiar with these things even say that they are bluffing. However, in Lagarde's own words, the slow and wait-and-see regulatory approach can no longer meet the needs

1. What is central bank digital currency<

what is the difference between central bank digital currency CBDC and other digital currencies

CBDC is a new form of currency, which is directly issued by the central bank in digital form as legal tender. The current form of legal currency is cash, reserve deposit or balance settlement< There are two main differences between CBDC and other digital currencies (including cryptocurrency and other forms of central bank currency):

1. CBDC has nothing to do with cryptoassets. They're not decentralized, they don't have to be blockchain based, and they're certainly not anonymous, they're not unlicensed, they're not censored< 2. Contrary to the current digital cash, the operation structure of CBDC will be different from other forms of central bank currency. CBDC has more powerful functions. They are programmable, can generate interest, can be cleared in near real time, and have cheaper handling charges and wider openness

when designing CBDC, the speed of central banks is different. Different central banks adopt their own approach. However, in general, there are three problems being explored: whether CBDC should be based on token or account number, whether CBDC should be batch (only open to banks) or retail (open to the public), and whether it should be based on DLT

when CBDC is to be implemented, things will become complicated, and there are many thorny problems to be considered

for example, once CBDC is launched, does it need to cancel cash? Should CBDC carry interest? Should they have face value like cash? Or linked to the total price index? What impact will this have on commercial banks? What about anonymity and privacy? All these questions need to be answered<

2. Motivation for issuing CBDC

in the 2017 staff discussion paper, the Bank of Canada gave six reasons for issuing CBDC in an article entitled "central bank digital currency: motivation and impact":

1. Ensure that the central bank provides sufficient cash to the public, and maintain the seigniorage revenue of the central bank

2, Support non-traditional monetary policy

3. Rece overall risk and improve financial stability

4. Improve payment competitiveness

5. Promote financial inclusiveness

6. Curb criminal activities

looking back at the bank for International Settlements survey we analyzed earlier, payment security and domestic efficiency are selected as the most important motives of the central bank. According to a large number of papers published by the central bank and other large financial institutions, for developed countries, the transformation into a cashless society is the main driving factor, while for developing countries, financial inclusiveness, cost rection and operational efficiency are the main motivation

throughout the rest of the reports and the literature that can be found, the fierce competition brought about by bitcoin and other innovations in the cryptocurrency instry, as well as the clear need for "one step ahead", of course, are not listed as the reasons for issuing CBDC< The advantages and potential risks of CBDC are very low.

if the central bank starts to launch CBDC and succeeds in the end, there are many potential benefits

from a technical point of view, CBDC is much better than the current form of legal currency. They can be tracked better, collect taxes more conveniently, transmit monetary policy better, have better financial inclusiveness, and rece the cost of procing physical currency

the most obvious advantage is that payment is cheaper and faster, whether it is domestic payment or cross-border payment

in addition to the design and implementation problems, a key problem of issuing CBDC is that CBDC may increase the risk of bank operation. However, this only happens when banks promise that their deposits can be converted into CBDC on demand, which is not necessarily the case, according to the Bank of England document

4. Facts on the ground

how far is it from us to see a real CBDC appear in the market? It's hard to estimate, but at present, we can sum up the current situation in one sentence: all talk but no practice

if we put aside the failed digital currencies of Ecuador, Tunisia and Venezuela, we can only do theoretical research, a small amount of experiments, and issue some feasible CBDC issuance announcements supported by the state in the future

the most famous CBDC projects in progress are: e-peso in Uruguay (the project was successfully tested in 2018), DCEP in China, "project Inthanon" in Thailand, e-krona in Sweden (still in the research stage)...

5. The revolution has not yet been successful, and comrades still need to work hard

considering the factors mentioned above, Most of the headlines about CBDC's upcoming release are groundless. All projects scheled to be released this year have been delayed

in fact, there is still a long way to go for the birth of CBDC, and to convince the public, we need more than a statement. Given the current situation, it seems that CBDC and other cryptocurrencies may not affect each other - at least for now.

3.

Digital currency is an unregulated and digital currency, which is usually issued and managed by developers and accepted and used by members of a specific virtual community. The European Banking authority defines virtual currency as a digital representation of value, which is not issued by the central bank or authorities, nor linked with legal currency. However, because it is accepted by the public, it can be used as a means of payment, or it can be transferred, stored or traded in electronic form

in recent years, the excessive issuance of banknotes has led to the aggravation of inflation, the frequent security crisis of third-party payment, and the graal maturity of blockchain technology, so decentralized digital currencies such as bitcoin, Ethereum and reborn have emerged. Digital currency has the advantages of low transaction cost, fast transaction speed, high anonymity and fixed amount of money

At the same time, the use scenarios of digital currency become more and more abundant, which makes the user acceptance grow. At present, the use of digital currency has covered all kinds of scenes, such as shopping consumption, wage payment, transportation, travel, takeout settlement and tuition payment. The expanding landing scene has also brought a wider range of consumers. In general, although the number of users of digital currency still accounts for a small proportion of the total population, the number of users is growing. At present, the utilization rate of digital currency has exceeded 10% in 10 countries around the world

In June 2019, Facebook launched Libra virtual cryptocurrency, which has caused worldwide influence. The emergence of Libra may form a global super sovereign currency, thus affecting the traditional transaction settlement currency. For China, the emergence of Libra, on the one hand, will have an impact on China's traditional currency and threaten the sovereign status of China's currency; On the other hand, because RMB is not included in Libra's basket of currencies, it will rece the reserve demand of RMB by central banks, thus hindering the internationalization of RMB. In response to this threat, CCTV timely launched the central bank digital currency. In September 2019, according to China Daily, the central bank's digital currency closed-loop test has begun, and the central bank's digital currency is about to come out

coincidentally, in addition to China, central banks around the world have also announced that they will launch a centralized digital currency based on national credit. In 2015, Ecuador took the lead in launching the national version of digital currency, which can not only rece the issuance cost and increase the convenience, but also enable people in remote areas who cannot have banking resources to obtain financial services through the digital platform. At present, Canada, Brazil, Norway, the United Kingdom and other countries are studying the central bank legal digital currency, while the Bahamas, Sweden, Russia and other countries are discussing the possibility of digital currency issuance. Generally speaking, the developing countries which have received a great impact on digital currency have supported legal digital currency for financial inclusion, breaking through sanctions and other reasons

for the above data and analysis, please refer to the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry published by foresight Instry Research Institute . Meanwhile, foresight Instry Research Institute also provides instrial big data, instrial planning, instrial declaration, instrial park planning, instrial investment promotion and other solutions