Digital currency can follow the internationalization of RMB
Hello, the replacement of paper-based RMB by digital RMB is basically certain. Just as the era goes from entity to e-commerce, RMB also goes from offline to online. Its function is exactly the same as paper money, that is, the digital version of paper money
at present, China's digital currency is a leading technology, which is bound to accelerate its digital currency construction in the short term, in order to find the gap with DCEP. However, DCEP can ultimately promote the nationalization of RMB, still depends on the steady growth of domestic economy and the international circulation ability of RMB itself, not only on the digital technology of RMB, but also has a long way to go
CBDC. How to participate? Including the following two cases, let's take Kazakhstan as an example. The first is that Kazakhstan can issue RMB denominated Kazakh government bonds. The issuer is Kazakhstan, but the RMB denominated bonds are sovereign bonds for Kazakhstan, which can also be sold to the Central Bank of China in exchange for CBDC. The second is that Kazakhstan issues treasury bonds denominated in its own currency, which are issued by Kazakhstan and priced in its own currency. This method is the easiest for Kazakhstan, because this is their own national debt, which is sold to the Central Bank of China, which gives it CBDC. The similarities between the two lie in that they both sell treasury bonds to the Central Bank of China, but the issuers of treasury bonds are not the same, and the pricing currencies of treasury bonds are not the same, so the requirements for Kazakhstan are not the same. In theory, these ways can be used as a political tool to influence and regulate the relationship between the Chinese government and Kazakhstan<
4 digital currency will become the biggest magic weapon of RMB internationalization
China is now facing the biggest challenge, in terms of currency, in fact, the internationalization of RMB. The monetary settlement system based on US dollar has brought great problems to the decision-makers outside the US dollar. The best way to rece the status of US dollar is to replace us dollar with a global digital currency to end the dominant advantage of US dollar. The Chinese version of CBDC is likely to become the biggest magic weapon to promote the internationalization of RMB and end the hegemony of US dollar. The opportunity for RMB internationalization lies in the trend of de dollarization. Therefore, we need friendly countries other than US dollars to participate in China's digital currency. Taking the lead in the use of digital currency in block trading and financial settlement to bypass the restrictions on trading in US dollar will certainly realize the development of de dollarization and form a new currency trading system dominated by China and participated by many parties. So how to achieve it? In essence, it is to transfer benefits, so that non dollarized friendly countries can participate in the issuance process of CBDC, and even share the seigniorage of RMB. It is the most effective magic weapon to embody the spirit of democratization and benefit sharing of blockchain and bitcoin in the design of sovereign currency, which is also the most practical way to realize the internationalization of RMB.
China's digital currency is as long as there is a mobile phone, no network, as long as the touch can be paid, and with detailed transaction records, it is very helpful to combat money laundering crime; This currency is mainly aimed at grabbing shares for Alipay, WeChat and POS terminals. It can also pave the way for RMB internationalization. Digital currency is not only safe and endorsed by the state, but the global central bank is pushing digital money. Now the digital currency is still in the testing stage. What time will it be popularized? It will have to wait until the Beijing Winter Olympic Games in February 2022 to fully promote the use
China's central bank's digital currency can be used for daily micro payments. Because it will be more stable with the endorsement of the state, the central bank's digital currency is different from bitcoin and Libra launched by Facebook. I give digital currency legal effect, and indivials can't refuse to accept it. At the same time, it is very convenient to use. It can be paid without binding any bank account. Digital currency will not cause inflation. Now it can be implemented and used in Shenzhen, xiong'an, Cheng, Suzhou and other cities. It also shows that the era of paperless is coming. Digital currency is a new concept with high technology content. In the future, RMB will enter the 3.0 era. Although the current digital currency is more powerful, it is still unable to put an end to money laundering and corruption
1、 What is digital currency RMB
with the development of Internet technology, especially blockchain technology, many so-called & lt; virtual currency;, Such as bitcoin and Wright currency, which are controversial in recent years
as a substitute for M0 (cash in circulation, i.e. cash in circulation outside the banking system), the difference between the central bank's digital currency and the virtual currency such as bitcoin is that bitcoin is decentralized, while the digital currency to be launched by the central bank is centralized
the central bank's digital currency is a legal digital currency issued by the central bank based on national credit, which is exactly the same as RMB cash and is equivalent to cash{ RRRRR}
it can be predicted that the era of digital RMB is coming. For commercial banks and other financial institutions, digital currency will lead to more innovations such as digital credit, digital assets and digital liabilities. In addition, the central bank can improve the efficiency of monetary operation monitoring and enrich monetary policy means after the issuance of digital currency
In addition, the issue of central bank's legal digital currency will make it possible to collect real-time data such as money creation, bookkeeping and flow. After data desensitization, it will conct in-depth analysis through big data and other technical means, so as to provide a useful reference for money supply, formulation and implementation of monetary policy, and provide a useful means for economic regulation In the short term, the introction of digital currency has little impact on the exchange rate; Digital RMB & quot; At present, it seems that the aim is to partially digitize the currency in circulation (so there will be zero interest rate compensation, 100% reserve requirement and limited weakening of financial intermediaries, also known as & lt; Disintermediation, Considering China's current capital account restrictions (especially the restrictions on capital outflow), the introction of digital currency is unlikely to have a great impact on the trend of RMB exchange rate in the short termthe development of Sino US relations, portfolio capital flow, yield advantage and valuation are still the driving factors for RMB. Due to the outbreak of the second wave of the epidemic, there was an outflow of funds from the United States. This should also boost market confidence in the RMB in the short term
2、“ Digital RMB & quot; It is a milestone of RMB internationalization; Digital RMB & quot; The design of settlement technology is very complex and becomes ubiquitous (by making full use of the increasing popularity of mobile phones and Internet applications in China and the inclusion of RMB in the IMF's special drawing rights basket), which may promote the internationalization of RMB and the diversification of the current US dollar centered International Monetary System in the long run
conclusion: when the central bank issues digital currency, it focuses more on domestic factors. On the one hand, it is the trend of the times; on the other hand, it has many advantages. And the internationalization of RMB, more often, is a matter of course. The introction of digital currency by the people's Bank of China is a major change in the monetary system, both domestically and internationally
as for the regionalization and internationalization of RMB, we can graally seek monetary cooperation within the framework of ASEAN 10 + 1 pseudo economic cooperation. We can fix their respective exchange rates and float jointly with foreign countries. When the time is ripe, we can use strong RMB to replace other currencies or take RMB as the dominant currency to create a single currency and realize monetary unification. Secondly, it can expand to ASEAN 10 + 3 on the basis of ASEAN 10 + 1 and unite with Japan and South Korea. At that time, RMB will really grow into an international currency with far-reaching influence, just like the euro to Europe and the US dollar to America
secondly, in terms of monetary function, we should promote the internationalization of RMB in three steps, that is, adhere to the three-step strategy of RMB settlement currency, RMB investment currency and RMB reserve currency. In this process, we should steadily promote the process of RMB capital account convertibility, actively and steadily carry out offshore financial business, and graally implement the target area management of exchange rate
historically, which country's currency becomes a valuation currency in international trade and capital flow will take the initiative in international economic transactions. Take capital export as an example. Among the three capital flow centers in the world, when Britain and the United States were capital exporting countries, they all used their local currency as the valuation currency, while after the 1970s, when Japan was the capital export center, they used US dollar as the valuation currency. result; Japanese enterprises and financial institutions are very passive in dealing with the exchange rate risk in the foreign exchange market. When the yen rose sharply, these enterprises and financial institutions suffered huge losses. This is considered by many people as one of the important reasons for Japan's economic recession for more than a decade
for a large economic country, if the local currency can not comply with the trend of domestic trade growth and become the pricing currency of the open international financial market and trade, then the national currency will not become one of the major international reserve currencies. This means that the domestic currency has not obtained the international currency status which is relative to the total economic volume and the total trade volume. In order to deal with the macro financial risk of exchange rate fluctuations, the government must hold a large number of foreign exchange reserves. In today's international monetary system, US dollar and euro are the main pricing currencies in the international financial market, so US dollar and euro have become the main reserve currencies in the world. Correspondingly, the foreign exchange reserves of the United States and the European Union are very small. By the end of June 2007, the value of foreign exchange reserves of the United States was only US $41.5 billion, and that of the European Central Bank was only 41.4 billion euros. In contrast, in Asia, although Japan and China are among the top countries in the world in terms of economic aggregate, neither the Japanese yen nor the RMB has gained the status of an important pricing currency in the international financial market. As a result, China and Japan have the largest foreign exchange reserves in the world
with the development of China's economy, it should be our long-term goal to take corresponding strategies to graally integrate RMB into the international reserve currency system, break the current reserve currency pattern of the western world dominated by US dollar and euro, and promote the construction of multipolar reserve currency system. In this process, China should adopt a consistent graal strategy to promote the internationalization of RMB through the regionalization of RMB. At the same time, we should develop an open international asset market valued in RMB and provide more choices of RMB financial assets for foreign investors. Only after such a stage can RMB really gain the status of reserve currency, and we can get rid of the trouble of worrying about the amount of foreign exchange reserves.
I think there are several reasons for the country to accelerate the promotion of digital currency:
first, digital currency is an important part of national security{ RRRRR}
although we have not yet seen the true face of digital currency, I believe that China's digital currency will shine in the world
Digital RMB is the legal currency in digital form, which has the same effect as the paper currency issued by the people's Bank of China. As early as 2020, the people's Bank of China has carried out the pilot work of digital RMB in Beijing, Shenzhen, Suzhou, Cheng, Wuhan and other places to explore the way for the comprehensive development of digital RMB. The pilot work of digital RMB in these cities has achieved good results. At present, the pilot work of digital RMB has not been completed and is still in the stage of deepening exploration. Issuing digital RMB can effectively save China's wood resources, rece environmental pollution, and avoid heavy transportation security work. In addition, China is the second largest economy in the world, and plays an important role in international economy and trade. Therefore, digital RMB internationalization has unique advantages and internationalization attributes
six pilot test areas have been added for digital RMB. with the continuous promotion of pilot tests in various places, the use scenarios of digital RMB and the number of participating institutions are increasing< there are many advantages to using digital RMB
digital currency is also concive to promoting RMB internationalization . Cumbersome currency exchange proceres can be easily completed online, and the convenience brought by digitization will make RMB more recognized internationally. If we apply one-to-one, one-way and other regional economic cooperation organizations, we will help expand the scale of transactions, further promote RMB digital trade, and promote regional economic cooperation. In the future, our digital RMB will make greater breakthroughs in application scenarios, and more consumers will graally contact and use digital RMB on the basis of safe use
As early as last year, digital personal currency was used on a pilot basis. Digital currency will become a new form of currency in the digital era, which is also an important milestone in the field of mobile payment{ RRRRR}
at the same time, digital RMB can rece the cost of equipment and labor in the process of printing banknotes to a certain extent. After the paper money is worn and aged, the state has to recycle it
from a larger point of view. Digital RMB can help RMB go to the world better and improve the internationalization level of RMB. It may be more convenient to use RMB abroad