Discussion on digital currency in the two sessions of 2018

1.

On November 9, 2019, the central bank has not launched digital currency

in 2014, the Central Bank of China set up a special research team to conct in-depth research on the framework of digital currency issuance and business operation, key technologies of digital currency, issuance and circulation environment, and legal issues

in January 2017, the central bank officially established the digital currency Research Institute in Shenzhen

in September 2018, the Institute of digital currency built a trade finance blockchain platform

On July 8, 2019, at the launching ceremony of the digital finance open research program and the first academic seminar, Wang Xin, director of the Research Bureau of the people's Bank of China, disclosed that the State Council has officially approved the research and development of the central bank's digital currency, and the central bank is engaged in corresponding work in organizing market institutions

extended data:

benefits of digital currency

the digitalization of central bank's currency helps to optimize the central bank's monetary payment function, improve the central bank's monetary status and the effectiveness of monetary policy. The central bank's digital currency can become an interest bearing asset to meet the holder's reserve demand for safe assets, and can also become the lower limit of bank deposit interest rate. It can also become a new monetary policy tool

at the same time, the central bank can affect the bank deposit and loan interest rate by adjusting the digital currency interest rate of the central bank, and help to break the zero interest rate lower limit

2. The central bank's digital currency is the legal digital currency approved by the State Council. The central bank organizes market institutions to engage in the corresponding work of the central bank's digital currency research and development

2019 August 21st, the official account of WeChat central bank released two articles on digital currency.

3. On the issue of issuing their own digital currency, central banks are always less thunderous. Central banks around the world are considering issuing their own digital currencies to compete with cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, but they have been unable to do so for a long time

the media's attention to the central bank's digital currency has increased significantly, especially after Zuckerberg testified in Congress on the Libra issue and Christina Lagarde acknowledged the "clear demand" for stable currency at her first media reception as president of the European Central Bank, which seems to have changed the public's view on this matter, Let many people in cryptocurrency community think that cbdcs is in sight<

according to the latest survey report released by the bank for International Settlements, central banks in the past seven years have been investigating this technology and assessing its impact. Of the 63 central banks surveyed, 55 said they were unlikely to issue cbdcs in the next three years, and only one reported that they were "highly likely to issue large-scale cbdcs in the next three to six years."

although the proportion of central banks studying cbdcs is very high, the crux of the problem is that it is mainly theoretical and investigative work. Only five central banks have concted more in-depth research and real project development or experimentation - but that still does not mean that they will necessarily issue cbdcs

through close observation, it is more and more obvious that both Libra recently released by Facebook and the new stable currency assets have had a significant impact on the central bank. Today's situation took hundreds of years to form, but it changed in a few months; Competition, the most terrifying and unfamiliar concept that has never been thought of before and penetrated into the elite society of central banks, is now knocking at the door

it can be said that the solution to the current situation is still unclear. Some people who are familiar with these things even say that they are bluffing. However, in Lagarde's own words, the slow and wait-and-see regulatory approach can no longer meet the needs

1. What is central bank digital currency<

what is the difference between central bank digital currency CBDC and other digital currencies

CBDC is a new form of currency, which is directly issued by the central bank in digital form as legal tender. The current form of legal currency is cash, reserve deposit or balance settlement< There are two main differences between CBDC and other digital currencies (including cryptocurrency and other forms of central bank currency):

1. CBDC has nothing to do with cryptoassets. They're not decentralized, they don't have to be blockchain based, and they're certainly not anonymous, they're not unlicensed, they're not censored< 2. Contrary to the current digital cash, the operation structure of CBDC will be different from other forms of central bank currency. CBDC has more powerful functions. They are programmable, can generate interest, can be cleared in near real time, and have cheaper handling charges and wider openness

when designing CBDC, the speed of central banks is different. Different central banks adopt their own approach. However, in general, there are three problems being explored: whether CBDC should be based on token or account number, whether CBDC should be batch (only open to banks) or retail (open to the public), and whether it should be based on DLT

when CBDC is to be implemented, things will become complicated, and there are many thorny problems to be considered

for example, once CBDC is launched, does it need to cancel cash? Should CBDC carry interest? Should they have face value like cash? Or linked to the total price index? What impact will this have on commercial banks? What about anonymity and privacy? All these questions need to be answered<

2. Motivation for issuing CBDC

in the 2017 staff discussion paper, the Bank of Canada gave six reasons for issuing CBDC in an article entitled "central bank digital currency: motivation and impact":

1. Ensure that the central bank provides sufficient cash to the public, and maintain the seigniorage revenue of the central bank

2, Support non-traditional monetary policy

3. Rece overall risk and improve financial stability

4. Improve payment competitiveness

5. Promote financial inclusiveness

6. Curb criminal activities

looking back at the bank for International Settlements survey we analyzed earlier, payment security and domestic efficiency are selected as the most important motives of the central bank. According to a large number of papers published by the central bank and other large financial institutions, for developed countries, the transformation into a cashless society is the main driving factor, while for developing countries, financial inclusiveness, cost rection and operational efficiency are the main motivation

throughout the rest of the reports and the literature that can be found, the fierce competition brought about by bitcoin and other innovations in the cryptocurrency instry, as well as the clear need for "one step ahead", of course, are not listed as the reasons for issuing CBDC< The advantages and potential risks of CBDC are very low.

if the central bank starts to launch CBDC and succeeds in the end, there are many potential benefits

from a technical point of view, CBDC is much better than the current form of legal currency. They can be tracked better, collect taxes more conveniently, transmit monetary policy better, have better financial inclusiveness, and rece the cost of procing physical currency

the most obvious advantage is that payment is cheaper and faster, whether it is domestic payment or cross-border payment

in addition to the design and implementation problems, a key problem of issuing CBDC is that CBDC may increase the risk of bank operation. However, this only happens when banks promise that their deposits can be converted into CBDC on demand, which is not necessarily the case, according to the Bank of England document

4. Facts on the ground

how far is it from us to see a real CBDC appear in the market? It's hard to estimate, but at present, we can sum up the current situation in one sentence: all talk but no practice

if we put aside the failed digital currencies of Ecuador, Tunisia and Venezuela, we can only do theoretical research, a small amount of experiments, and issue some feasible CBDC issuance announcements supported by the state in the future

the most famous CBDC projects in progress are: e-peso in Uruguay (the project was successfully tested in 2018), DCEP in China, "project Inthanon" in Thailand, e-krona in Sweden (still in the research stage)...

5. The revolution has not yet been successful, and comrades still need to work hard

considering the factors mentioned above, Most of the headlines about CBDC's upcoming release are groundless. All projects scheled to be released this year have been delayed

in fact, there is still a long way to go for the birth of CBDC, and to convince the public, we need more than a statement. Given the current situation, it seems that CBDC and other cryptocurrencies may not affect each other - at least for now.

4. Does not exist, now want to buy digital currency to make money? I just want to ask you a question. If you don't choose the mainstream, the rest of the junk's circulation plate is just a little money. If you hold a little more money, are you sure you can sell it out? To put it bluntly, currency is a market value. What can pull a wave at the beginning of the market is speculation. That is, you can buy the currency price with very little money, and then you are fooled into buying it. When you want to sell, after the speculation, no one will buy it. Who will pick up your offer?

5. If you think too much, digital currencies are generally weak, and bitcoin has dropped from its peak of $2W in January this year to $6000 now. At present, investment in digital currency can only be done in the short term, not necessarily making money.

6. This week, Antony Lewis, director of R3 research and head of cash and CBDC strategy, said at the decision conference at the Walkerhill Hotel in South Korea that a central bank issued digital currency (CBDC) is expected to go online this year
all members of the group on "instrial evolution through distributed ledgers" hope that CBDC will be set up for specific financial institutions. BT110

7. Fun step is a deceptive software, which makes you invite more people to be cheated. If you think about the candy flow it advertises, it will be valuable, and it will continue to appreciate. That is to cheat users to invest in candy, and finally earn enough money on the platform. It's impossible for you to get it back

8.

When people still think that digital currency is a joke in the virtual world of the Internet, Mu Changchun, deputy director general of the payment and Settlement Department of the people's Bank of China, said at the third Yichun community forum of CF40 on August 10,

digital currency

Second, to avoid hype before, people criticized the digital currency because it became a grey Swan after being hyped. Wearing the packaging of blockchain applications, digital currencies such as BTC are virtual currencies created on the basis of blockchain applications

Thirdly, we should assiously integrate into the digital currency era from the perspective of improving the availability and the application intention of the masses, the central bank's selling of digital currency adopts a two-tier business framework,

the decision-making adopts a two-tier framework, which is also to make full use of the resources, talents and technical advantages of commercial institutions, promote independent innovation and market competition

the era of digital currency has come, so don't go against the development trend. The use of digital currency is an inevitable trend. In this situation, we should assiously integrate the authenticity of digital currency. Although it is virtual,

is exchanged by commercial institutions for everyone, it is also very missing, which is real gold and silver. At this time, it seems that the new pattern and new trend are very critical. Try to do something that meets the long-term trend opportunities and integrate into the overall upward opportunities of the sales market