Factors affecting bitcoin

1. With the three characteristics of open source code, limited total amount and decentralization, it is the real encrypted Internet digital assets. "As long as the Internet exists, the network gold will never disappear.". At present, the connection between online gold and future city, a listed company in the United States, has been successful, and its commercial application has been carried out in more than 40 countries all over the world.
because the value growth of online gold is different from other digital currencies, it is mainly e to the value superposition of more and more businesses, rather than the price growth brought by interpersonal transactions. Because of the value-added property of online gold, businesses and consumers are more willing to accept it. Such a virtuous circle is the main factor to promote the net gold to rise but not fall. Since the price of online gold is determined by market transactions, it will not be controlled by the market like stocks,

2.

1. Digital money supply:

for example, the supply of bitcoin may be limited (21 million), which is expected to be fully exploited by 2040, but even so, the availability of money will fluctuate with the speed of its entry into the market and the activities of its holders

2, the value of the digital currency: the value of the

digital money market and the expectation of its currency will affect the behavior of traders, choose to participate in a blowout market or short bubbles. p>

3. Negative reports:

any currency will be affected by the public perception, especially digital currency. Even in its heyday, its security, currency value and currency circulation have been questioned

4. Resource integration:

establishing the image of digital currency and building the confidence to defeat traditional currency depend on its integration with new payment system and crowdfunding platform

5. Instry acceptance:

bitcoin and other digital currencies have not been widely accepted by global enterprises, and the impact of placing it in a more important position in enterprises is unknown

6. Key events:

any major event, including regulatory changes, security loopholes, macroeconomic setbacks, may have a serious impact on cryptocurrency

extended data

monetary characteristics:

as a non fully circulating asset, the strong price of digital cryptocurrency must be supported by reserves; The price fluctuation depends on the real-time transaction demand of bitcoin to legal currency

the biggest feature of digital cryptocurrency is that it is global. No matter where you are, of course, the human beings in the Mars bunker outside the earth have no problem. As long as you can log on to the network, you can freely control your own assets within the scope of the global network, which is safe and convenient. The assets in an address can be controlled independently or jointly (multi signature smart contract)

3. Reasons for bitcoin's surge:
factor 1: bitcoin's spot trading volume rose
the decline on March 13 caused BTC to drop from US $8000 to US $3600 within 24 hours, and the buying volume of coinbase, Kraken, binance, bitfinex and other spot exchanges surged
at the same time, open positions (used to describe the total number of long and short positions opened at a specific time) fell sharply in mainstream futures exchanges (including bitmex, binance futures and okex)
the sharp decline of open position and the obvious increase of spot purchase volume of futures exchange actually lead to the transformation of the market. The spot market began to control the price of bitcoin, rather than the futures market
the futures market usually causes sharp fluctuations in the price of bitcoin, because traders use leverage (borrowed funds) to trade cryptocurrency, while in the spot market, investors buy and sell bitcoin without borrowing funds
this change has stabilized the market, enabled the price of bitcoin to rebound without a significant correction, and the volatility is relatively low

factor 2: BTC should not have fallen below $4000 at the beginning
on March 31, coinbase published a blog post, describing in detail the market trend after bitcoin plummeted to $3600
the exchange said that most users of the platform bought bitcoin after a sudden decline, adding that the waterfall clearing led to a much lower decline in bitcoin on the futures exchange than on the spot exchange
coinbase explained: "waterfall clearing is the most prominent in bitmex, which provides highly leveraged procts. During the sell-off period, bitcoin trading price on bitmex was much lower than other exchanges. Until bitmex was maintained at the time of the highest volatility (based on DDoS attacks), waterfall clearing was suspended and prices rebounded rapidly. When the st settles, bitcoin hovers around $5000, before plummeting below $4000. "
this opens up a theory that bitcoin should not have fallen to $3000 in the first place, which explains why bitcoin rebounded rapidly to $7350 in a V-shape

factor 3: rapid recovery to key support level
since the beginning of 2018, the level of $5800 has been an important support area in history. Avoid bitcoin prices falling between $3000 and $4000, except in December 2018
bitcoin prices quickly recovered from the $3000 range to $5800 in seven days. After three tests in March, the price of $5800 became a strong bottom, allowing bitcoin to continue its rally.

4. As a financial technology enthusiast, kuanke online Xiaobian, I think, there are several major factors to promote
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.

5. There are many factors that can affect the price of digital currency, which can be summarized as follows:

1. The factor of investment supply and demand is actually not independent, and investors' demand for digital currency is also affected by various news factors. However, from the price surge of last year, in the absence of obvious policy and other news, The admission of investors and investment institutions will also promote the price growth

2. Policy factors are also important factors affecting the price of digital red packets. In the past, the implementation and formulation of policies in South Korea, Japan, the United States and China have affected the price trend of bitcoin

3. The real financial factors and the instability of the real financial world make the demand for digital assets rise from time to time. For example, the Chinese government's policy adjustment, the brexit of the UK, the setback of the global stock market at the beginning of 2018 and other events all give play to the hedging characteristics of digital currency

4. Technical factors. Although the security of digital currency has been highly respected in its development, several technical crises still occurred in its development history. For example, bitfinex, the largest bitcoin dollar exchange, was attacked by hackers and stole 120000 bitcoin, and bitcoin fell by 25% in the following six trading days

5. Good news and bad news will affect the fluctuation of currency value

6. The market trend will be affected by the actions of the leading enterprises in this field, platforms, digital currencies with large market share, leaders with great influence in the market, etc

besides, choosing a good project can avoid risks to a certain extent. For example, HNB, the next generation of decentralized blockchain economy, is a reliable project. It relies on the real economy, and at the same time uses value exchange to continuously create endogenous value. It uses blockchain to build an economy, so that everyone can participate in it and get returns through labor, instead of relying on currency speculation.

6. Bitcoin is valuable because it is useful as a form of currency. Bitcoin has the mathematical characteristics of money (persistence, portability, interchangeability, scarcity, separability and identifiability) rather than relying on physical characteristics (such as gold and silver) or the trust of central authorities (such as fiat money). In short, bitcoin is backed by mathematics. With these characteristics, a form of money to have value requires trust and use. In contrast, this can be reflected in its growing base of users, businesses and start-ups. Like all currencies, the value of bitcoin comes directly from people who are willing to accept it as a means of payment, which is the only source In China, it is defined as a special Internet commodity by the central bank
the price of bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for bitcoin increases, the price of bitcoin rises; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a few bitcoins are in circulation, and new bitcoins are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, bitcoin is still a relatively small market at present. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate up and down. Therefore, the price of bitcoin is still very unstable.

7. It can not be said that the digital currency pioneered by bitcoin is hyped by investors
first of all, bitcoin does have a lot of innovations and is a good concept stock. The blockchain derived from bitcoin is also a very reliable technology, and now it is an outlet. There are a lot of counterfeit currencies developed based on bitcoin model, including some application-oriented digital currencies, such as Ruitai currency and vitality currency
secondly, bitcoin can really exist as an excellent payment method, but it also has many disadvantages
of course, the popularity of bitcoin cannot be separated from speculation. For now, bitcoin is still in the stage of speculation.