Analysis on the strict supervision of Boao virtual currency
It is illegal to issue virtual currency privately
According to Article 29 of the regulations of the people's Republic of China on the administration of RMB, no unit or indivial is allowed to print or sell token tickets to replace RMB in circulation on the market In addition, the "emergency notice of the State Council Office for rectifying unhealthy tendencies in the instry, the State Economic and Trade Commission and the people's Bank of China on prohibiting the issuance and use of various token certificates (cards)" also strictly prohibited similar issues 
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virtual currency refers to non real currency. Well known virtual currencies, such as online currency of Internet company, q-coin of Tencent company, q-point and voucher of Shanda company, micro currency launched by Sina (used for micro games, Sina reading, etc.), chivalrous Yuanbao (used for chivalrous road game), silver grain (used for bixue Qingtian game), and popular digital currencies in 2013 include bitcoin, Laite coin, infinite coin, quark coin, zeta coin, etc Barbecue coins, pennies (Internet), invisible gold bars, red coins, prime coins. At present, hundreds of digital currencies are issued all over the world. Popular in the circle & quot; The legend of "bitcoin, Wright silver, infinite copper, pennies aluminum"
market formation
the Internet has led to the emergence of a new market, which is a virtual market based on cyberspace. The Internet provides a lot of communication places for consumers, and also provides business market for enterprises. Enterprises must change from proct centered to service centered to customer centered. With the development of computer artificial intelligence technology and database technology, enterprises can conveniently collect customers' information, understand customers' needs in time, change business strategies and grasp economic arteries in real time
With the rapid development of computer and network communication technology, the application of Internet technology has graally penetrated into various fields of human activities, and the unlimited business opportunities that it contains make businesses turn their eyes to e-commerce. E-commerce is penetrating into all aspects of social and economic life at a speed that people can hardly imaginethe traditional finance is also closely watching this irresistible trend of global economic integration and networking. As a result, value-added services take art as the selling point and can be regarded as commodities; The sword in the game is not a brand-new financial services business philosophy - e-finance came into being
from the historical development process, to understand e-finance, we must start from the electronic finance and e-commerce. The so-called e-financialization means that financial enterprises adopt modern communication, computer, network and other information technology means in addition to Internet technology to improve the work efficiency of traditional financial service business, rece operating costs, realize the automation of financial business processing, informatization of financial enterprise management and scientific decision-making, and provide customers with faster and more convenient services, And then enhance the financial enterprise is the behavior of market competitive advantage
e-finance is a transcendence of financial electronization. Different from the electronic finance, the main technical basis of e-finance operation is the increasingly perfect Internet technology. Due to the characteristics of global connectivity, openness, quickness and low marginal cost of Internet technology, e-finance strengthens the restructuring and innovation of financial services business based on Internet technology, so that customers are free from the restrictions of business hours and places, and enjoy all kinds of high-quality and low-cost services provided by financial enterprises anytime and anywhere
with the development of Internet, the form of money is becoming more virtual, and there is an electronic money that only exists in the form of electronic signal
reference source: Network: virtual currency
1、 Different definitions:
1. Virtual currency:
virtual currency refers to non real currency
digital currency:digital currency is an alternative currency in the form of electronic currency. Both digital gold coin and cryptocurrency belong to digiccy
3. Cryptocurrency:
cryptocurrency is a kind of transaction medium that uses cryptography principles to ensure transaction security and control the creation of transaction units
4. Token (token):
a kind of article whose shape and size are similar to currency, but the scope of use is limited and has no currency effect, and its token is the homonym of token in English
Second, the characteristics are different:1; It can also be said that virtual currency is personalized currency. In another way, it can also be called information currency
2. Digital currency:
is an unregulated and digital currency, which is usually issued and managed by developers and accepted and used by members of specific virtual communities
Cryptocurrency:cryptocurrency is based on the decentralized consensus mechanism, which is opposite to the banking and financial system relying on the centralized regulatory system
4. Token (token):
usually needs to be exchanged for money, used in shops, playgrounds, mass transportation and other places, as a voucher to use services and exchange goods
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at present, digital currency is more like an investment proct, because it lacks a strong guarantee agency to maintain its price stability, and its role as a value measure has not yet appeared, so it can not be used as a means of payment. As an investment proct, digital currency cannot develop without trading platform, operating company and investment company
digital currency is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, the blockchain technology it relies on has been decentralized and can be used in other fields except digital currency, which is one of the reasons why bitcoin is popular; On the other hand, if digital currency is widely used by the public as a kind of currency, it will have a huge impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy, financial infrastructure, financial market and financial stability
since then, the network and shell electronics have announced the stop of bitcoin payment. Recently, the central bank interviewed the third party payment agencies. Alipay and Fu Tong pass closed the virtual currency trading window such as bitcoin, resulting in a further fall in bitcoin prices.
it is also reported that the cooperation between banks and bitcoin trading platform is not supported by the regulatory authorities, which basically turns off the possibility of recharge and withdrawal on bitcoin platform, that is, blocking the mutual exchange between domestic bitcoin and RMB
bitcoin trading platforms such as "bitcoin China" and okcoin also resumed to charge 0.3% transaction fees, and increased the withdrawal fees to 1%. Some analysts believe that this is to prevent a large number of investors from cashing out
all kinds of signs show that bitcoin is getting worse and worse in China. However, the conclusion of bitcoin's exit from China may be overstated
first, bitcoin can be freely traded as a commodity
although the central bank does not recognize the legal tender status of bitcoin, it does not deny the legitimacy of bitcoin as a commodity and does not prohibit investment, trading and purchase of bitcoin. Ordinary people have the freedom to participate at their own risk
Second, the bitcoin trade has not collapsed yet
a bitcoin player said that the current transaction price of bitcoin is not low enough to lead to the collapse of the trade. The price of bitcoin is still higher than the cost price of bitcoin, that is, the price of mining< Third, the transaction channel is not blocked
although some third-party payments have stopped supporting bitcoin transactions, and banks are not optimistic, bitcoin trading platform can also use other third-party payment interfaces, or use foreign payment interfaces to pay. Some bitcoin trading platforms are considering transferring their servers abroad
the above-mentioned bitcoin player said that he once withdrew cash from his personal account to remit money to him. In other words, bitcoin transaction may bypass the third-party payment
at the same time, cash transaction is also a possible way of transaction< Four, the biggest risk of bitcoin trading is not regulation
the biggest risk of bitcoin trading is not government regulation, but security risks
bitcoin is at risk of being stolen by hackers. If there is a large-scale loss of bitcoin, it will directly affect the fairness of market transactions, which is a real "bottom-up"
however, at present, the security risks of bitcoin have not been fully exposed
the overall risk has increased
it must be admitted that the government's increased supervision has further increased the risk of bitcoin trading
moreover, the transaction threshold is obviously higher than before
in essence, as a means of investment, the risk of bitcoin is self-evident. If there is no final person to take over the offer, even if bitcoin is in short supply, it lacks real value and only has limited online use value. If you can't find the last recipient, bitcoin will probably disappear like a bubble.
virtual currency lacks supervision and is too free; Therefore, China's current virtual currency is still in a serious regulatory scope; Of course, the research on virtual currency blockchain technology is worth trying.
first, to maintain the continuity of monetary policy, not to release water, not to shrink abruptly
Second, it will not change the fact that bitcoin is not legally recognized
thirdly, strengthen supervision, pay attention to safety and maintain stable and neutral development
Fourth, to serve the development of the real economy
considering the consistent policy of the Chinese government on digital currency, maintaining stability and continuity should be the current orientation and trend< In addition, although Yi Gang pointed out at the Boao Forum for Asia that he would take a strict attitude towards digital currency, it does not mean that he will stop studying digital currency. At present, the central bank is studying how digital currency can serve the real economy in a better form, develop safely in the best form and avoid possible negative effects, Let digital currency serve the economy better
in spite of stricter supervision, it is still believed that the central bank will adopt a combination of easing and blocking measures for the development of digital currency in the future.
It is difficult to avoid the typical risks related to the payment system. In a specific virtual community, virtual currency payment activities have evolved into a "real" payment system, facing the typical risks related to the payment system: credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk and legal risk. The nature, scale and ration of these risks largely depend on the design of the system or the degree of lack of liquidity. It is difficult for the network virtual currency scheme to avoid or control these risks. According to the core principles of important payment system (CP) issued by the bank for International Settlements (BIS), the network virtual currency scheme does not conform to most of the contents of CP, and does not belong to the systemically important payment system. Therefore, it will not cause or transmit shocks to the global financial system. At present, there is no systematic risk in the network currency system outside these virtual communities
2. Lack of corresponding supervision and protection mechanism
in the real economy, the central bank plays the role of lender of last resort and there is no default risk, so it can take actions in the case of payment crisis or unpredictable liquidity shortage to avoid chain reaction. In the network virtual currency scheme, network currency is not the settlement asset. Because network currency simply depends on the credibility of the issuer, it can not be widely accepted as a means of payment, so network currency can not be regarded as a safe currency. In addition, commercial banks are required to accept prudential supervision, which reces the possibility of default. The security of money in commercial bank accounts is higher than that of network currency. A fundamental risk of network currency is that the settlement institution of network currency scheme is not subject to any supervision, no institution is responsible for its behavior, and there is no investor / depositor protection mechanism, which causes the user to bear all the risks
(4) risk of absence of supervision generally speaking, supervision lags behind the development of science and technology. The network virtual currency program was established in the late 1990s, but it was not until 2006 that some government agencies in the United States began to analyze these programs. Due to the lack of supervision and the anonymity, invisibility and difficulty in tracking of its transactions, the network virtual currency scheme is easily used by terrorist activities, fraud, money laundering and other illegal activities. At present, many government departments in many countries are considering whether to recognize or legalize these virtual schemes and bring them into the scope of supervision, so as to support the innovation of currency and payment forms, protect consumers' rights and interests and financial stability, and restrain the use of virtual currency schemes to engage in criminal activities. At present, the uncertainty of the legal status of the virtual currency scheme may also bring challenges to the government authorities
The reputation of Monetary Authority (central bank) is the key factor to determine the effectiveness of its policies, especially monetary policy. The public's trust in fiat money is closely related to the image of the central bank, which pays close attention to its reputation. The ECB will define reputation risk as the risk of deterioration of reputation, credit or public image. As the network currency scheme is related to money and payment, it is generally believed that it belongs to the responsibility of the central bank, so it is necessary to guard against the reputation risk it may bring to the central bank. Although in the case of small scale, the impact of the failure of the network currency scheme is limited, its high volatility and instability also increase the possibility of failure and attract extensive media coverage. If the network currency is allowed to develop continuously without regulation, the central bank may be regarded as dereliction of ty and affect its reputation Compared with the exchange value, the public has a higher recognition of the investment value of network virtual currency, and it is the transaction based on investment that accelerates the formation of virtual currency market. Like other investment markets, the participants of virtual money market will also face the potential losses caused by market risk, credit risk and policy risk. Take the bitcoin as an example: from 2009 to the beginning of 2010, bitcoin was worthless; In the summer of 2010, bitcoin trading began to enter the golden age. Because the supply was far less than the demand, the value of online trading began to rise. In early November, bitcoin was silent at 29 cents for many days, and then jumped to 36 cents; In February 2011, the bitcoin continued to appreciate, and its exchange rate with the US dollar reached 1:1; In 2013, the bitcoin price achieved a "Big Bang" growth, and hit US $1242 on November 29, 2013, exceeding the gold price of US $1241.98/oz in the same period. Fierce price fluctuations make market participants face huge speculative risksunlike mature capital markets such as stocks and bonds, bitcoin market is not deep enough, and it is mainly held in the hands of large investors with low degree of diversification. Bitcoin price is easily affected by large investors' trading behavior and controlled by speculators. At the same time, different countries have different attitudes towards bitcoin. Germany, the United States and other countries hold an open and supportive attitude. Thailand, Brazil and other countries regard bitcoin related activities as illegal. Every country's attitude and measures will have a significant impact on its price, especially in the short term
is different from Alipay, WeChat and other electronic payment. Digital currency is a brand new digital credit currency which is different from traditional credit currency. On the morning of September 9, Zhou Xiaochuan, President of the people's Bank of China, Yi Gang, vice president of the people's Bank of China, and pan Gongsheng, vice president and director of the State Administration of foreign exchange, answered questions from Chinese and foreign journalists on issues related to "financial reform and development.". In response to a question about digital currency, President Zhou Xiaochuan said that bitcoin and other virtual currencies have not been recognized as retail payment instruments, and the central bank does not accept or recognize relevant services at present. At the same time, he also pointed out that the central bank is cooperating with the market to develop digital currency
At the same time, Zhou Xiaochuan also pointed out that digital currency may have some unpredictable effects on financial stability and monetary policy transmission. Therefore, it needs dynamic regulatory measures. Jin Yu, director of the Department of economics, School of economics, Shanghai University of Finance and economics, once commented that "virtual currency" may not only hide the grey transaction or even the black transaction, but also cause all kinds of risks, "crowd out" the real financial innovation, which is not concive to the sustainable and healthy development of Internet financea day ago, Sheng Songcheng, counselor of the people's Bank of China and executive vice president of China Europe Lujiazui Institute of international finance, also said that the future of blockchain is to serve the real economy“ If blockchain and virtual currency are combined, and blockchain is mainly focused on virtual currency, I don't think blockchain will have a future. " Sheng Songcheng said
Li Lihui, head of the blockchain research working group of China mutual Finance Association and former president of Bank of China, believes that the future development direction of blockchain is large-scale application. In his view, how to achieve large-scale application depends on four factors: efficiency, cost, reliability and safety, and system
Zhu Min, former vice president of Bank of China, central bank and IMF, and now president of National Institute of finance of Tsinghua University, said at the Boao Forum: "when talking about blockchain, we should first separate blockchain from bitcoin, which is not a concept. As a technology, blockchain is revolutionary and unlimited in the future. Blockchain technology will have great application prospects in the future, and the future is very good. "
"the combination of blockchain and virtual currency has no future"
as early as 2014, Sheng Songcheng published an article in an authoritative journal, explaining that virtual currency is not currency in essence from the origin and essence of currency
in his view, if virtual currency overflows, monetary policy can not be implemented, and monetary policy is one of the main means of macroeconomic regulation and control in the world
according to him, when virtual currency first came out, the attitude of central banks was not unified“ But up to now, we have basically unified our views, at least we do not recognize it as currency, because it will hinder the implementation of the whole monetary policy. " Sheng Songcheng said< As early as November 20, 2013, Yi Gang, who was also vice president of the people's Bank of China, first talked about bitcoin at a forum. At that time, he said that from the perspective of the central bank, it was impossible to recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin in the near future. However, he also believes that bitcoin trading, as a kind of trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate
at that time, Yi Gang's statement was interpreted as good news by some bitcoin investors. They believed that although the regulatory authorities did not recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin, they did not characterize it as illegal and would not directly interfere in the trading of bitcoin. But unexpectedly, the price of bitcoin fell to 4150 yuan the next day.