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Factors influencing the price trend of virtual currency

Publish: 2021-05-07 14:19:55
1. The value of virtual currency is reflected in "more people recognize it". At the beginning of any instry, there will be savage growth. Take bitcoin as an example, the peak price of bitcoin is close to $2W, and the current price is only about $6500
in the current situation, blockchain is not a mature technology. What the market values is the so-called prospect, and it will take time to improve and excavate it slowly. However, the collapse of virtual currency is just a return to its own value
in short, I think bitcoin will continue to grow slowly after falling below a certain price. The current slump is just that the funds attracted by the previous heat have discovered the characteristics of virtual currency (hacker attack, dealer trading, these two situations will probably only appear in the newly issued currency, which is determined by the characteristics of blockchain, in other words, Hackers may also attack bitcoin in the early stage, but the more people and nodes bitcoin enters, the lower the probability of this situation, and the more difficult it is to generate)
in addition, I think that a large number of people in China even don't know what bitcoin is, so they are ready to make a fortune with money.
2. There are many reasons for the collapse. There are usually the following points:

1: the bubble is too big and the price is too high.
Two: there are too many coins, less bills and more bills
Three: platform smash, too many players will also smash
Four: no one will play if you give less empty coins. If you give more, you will smash the plate. If you smash away, you will smash it next
Five: what you can dig is also free. You can only dig but not buy it. You can sell it when you dig.
3. With the three characteristics of open source code, limited total amount and decentralization, it is the real encrypted Internet digital assets. "As long as the Internet exists, the network gold will never disappear.". At present, the connection between online gold and future city, a listed company in the United States, has been successful, and its commercial application has been carried out in more than 40 countries all over the world.
because the value growth of online gold is different from other digital currencies, it is mainly e to the value superposition of more and more businesses, rather than the price growth brought by interpersonal transactions. Because of the value-added property of online gold, businesses and consumers are more willing to accept it. Such a virtuous circle is the main factor to promote the net gold to rise but not fall. Since the price of online gold is determined by market transactions, it will not be controlled by the market like stocks,
4. There are many reasons for the rise, the most important is the team hype, keep up with the trend of trading, do not greedy high; The second is the degree of recognition from the outside world. The higher the degree of recognition, the more stable the price is. There may be slight fluctuations in the short term, but there will not be much loss in the long term. The main reason for the decline is that the currency market recognition is not high, or there are new projects outside to attract players to throw money and transfer to the external platform. Pure hand play, hope to adopt.
5. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system. Unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity
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6. As a financial technology enthusiast, kuanke online Xiaobian, I think, there are several major factors to promote
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
7. Bitcoin is valuable because it is useful as a form of currency. Bitcoin has the mathematical characteristics of money (persistence, portability, interchangeability, scarcity, separability and identifiability) rather than relying on physical characteristics (such as gold and silver) or the trust of central authorities (such as fiat money). In short, bitcoin is backed by mathematics. With these characteristics, a form of money to have value requires trust and use. In contrast, this can be reflected in its growing base of users, businesses and start-ups. Like all currencies, the value of bitcoin comes directly from people who are willing to accept it as a means of payment, which is the only source In China, it is defined as a special Internet commodity by the central bank
the price of bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for bitcoin increases, the price of bitcoin rises; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a few bitcoins are in circulation, and new bitcoins are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, bitcoin is still a relatively small market at present. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate up and down. Therefore, the price of bitcoin is still very unstable.
8. Did you plug the miner into the USB hub? If the power supply is not enough, it may not start
9. Pure speculation in order to buy more people will rise, sell more people will fall. However, recently, the stock market will have an impact on the virtual currency market. Stocks fall, virtual currency rises, stocks rise, virtual currency falls
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