What determines the value of virtual currency
1. The market depth of a digital currency, such as bitcoin and Leyte, is very deep
2. The application scenarios of a digital currency, for example, the digital currency on the coin Ying China platform will correspond to the corresponding physical assets, which are regarded as the digital currency of assets
3. The social recognition of a digital currency, bitcoin, has been widely recognized in the world.
bitcoin has value because it is useful as a form of currency. Bitcoin has the mathematical characteristics of money (persistence, portability, interchangeability, scarcity, separability and identifiability) rather than relying on physical characteristics (such as gold and silver) or the trust of central power (such as fiat money). In short, bitcoin is backed by mathematics. With these characteristics, a form of money to have value requires trust and use. This can be reflected in the growing number of users, businesses and start-ups. Like all currencies, the value of bitcoin comes directly from people who are willing to accept it as a means of payment, which is the only source
of course, some domestic digital currency scholars began to take bitcoin not as a kind of currency, but as a shortcut. Teacher Shaqian proposed the concept of currency business circle. Perhaps inspired by the recent emergence of a currency called Fuyuan coin in the jewelry instry, it is very innovative to use Fuyuan coin to replace the traditional business integral system.
The form and expression of "virtual" is not the first important, the first important is the internal value. In other words, what is the relationship and difference between the value of virtual currency and that of general currency. In view of the depth of the background of the problem, we need to stand higher in the starting point of the research. The problem of currency is the problem of modernity, and the problem of virtual currency is the problem of post modernity. They do not share the same basic paradigm. It is the difference of paradigm, not virtual phenomenon, that leads to the difference between them
the formation mechanism of value is different
the value basis of general currency and virtual currency is different, the former represents utility, the latter represents value. From the point of view of behavioral economics, money, as a general equivalent, is called value in language, but it actually refers to utility. Virtual currency does not represent the "effect" of general "price", but the value itself. Virtual currency is not a general equivalent, but a manifestation of value relativity, or a symbol; It can also be said that virtual currency is personalized currency. In another way, it can also be called information currency. Their commonness lies in that they are symbols of uncertain value and relative value. When we say that, the traditional meaning of currency has been broken through. Money in its original meaning can only be a special case of the new currency in a broader sense. Money can be used as the symbol of general equivalent or relative value set
the monetary decision mechanism is different
the general currency is decided by the central bank, and the virtual currency is decided by indivials. The sovereignty of general currency is in the center of the Republic; The sovereignty of virtual currency lies in distributed indivial nodes. From the perspective of information economics, general currency is a special case of virtual currency. The special points of this special case are: first, the reference point does not change. Therefore, value is specialized from a set to a recible value. When the reference point remains unchanged, value is equivalent to utility; Second, the gain and loss of utility relative to the reference point remain unchanged. This means that the value of reference point is a stable rational value and equilibrium value. In a rational economy, the reference point may remain unchanged, but it is still a scattered set. The difference is that every point (the actual transaction price) of this decentralization is unstable, and only the equilibrium value is stable; But in the value concentration of virtual currency, every point may be stable, on the contrary, the rational equilibrium value may be unstable. Reflecting on the monetary decision mechanism, the central bank is the personified representative of a fixed reference point of rational value, while the virtual money market (such as stock market and game money market) is determined by forces other than the central bank. In this sense, some people in economics call the stock market as the virtual money market, and the economy formed by the stock market and derivative financial market as the virtual economy. The essence of virtual economy is information economy with indivial as the center
the value exchange mechanism is different
the value conversion of general currency is completed in the money market; The value conversion of virtual money is completed in the virtual money market. The value exchange between general currency and virtual currency is completed through the overall exchange of the two markets. Under special conditions, there is an immature exchange relationship between indivial markets. Therefore, it can be said that general currency and virtual currency are in different markets. Fisher Equation (QP = MV) describes the value conversion relationship between commodity market and money market; The extended Fisher Equation (MV = BH) describes the value conversion relationship between money market and virtual money market. Some people worry that the game virtual currency may cause inflation. This is because he does not understand the market exchange mechanism of virtual currency and confused the money market with the virtual currency market. Just as the imbalance of supply and demand in the commodity market can not directly lead to the imbalance of supply and demand in the money market, it must lead to inflation by issuing more money in the overall market; The imbalance of supply and demand in the virtual money market can not directly lead to inflation in the money market. The key to the problem is whether a unified virtual money market has been formed. The stock market is a unified market, but the game market is not. For example, the ratio of a game virtual currency to RMB may initially be 800000 to 1, and then it may change to 8 million to 1. Maybe we can buy a castle's virtual currency today, and maybe we can only buy a Tomahawk tomorrow. This phenomenon is indeed possible; If virtual currency forms a unified market, it may indeed exert pressure on the money market. The problem is that there is no such unified market. The issuers of game currency are independent of each other and do not have the status of financial subject, let alone the exchange with money at the level of financial market. What's more, whether it's base money or value-added money, the amount of money (m) and the level of money price (V, i.e. velocity of circulation) have not changed, so we can't think that there will be monetary inflation or deflation. For the current game currency depreciation phenomenon, it is better to explain that the service conditions of a game as a value-added service have changed. Due to the general improvement of the level of players or the increase of the number of players, the demand for virtual currency increases, and the price of services and virtual currency decreases. As a result of this change in the supply and demand conditions of services, service prices have declined. This is a phenomenon that can be explained by a real commodity market
the price of bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. When the demand for bitcoin increases, the price of bitcoin rises; As demand decreases, prices fall. At present, only a few bitcoins are in circulation, and new bitcoins are issued at a predictable rate of graal decline, which means that demand must follow this inflation level in order to maintain price stability. Compared with the market scale it may become, bitcoin is still a relatively small market at present. It does not need a lot of money to make the market price fluctuate up and down. Therefore, the price of bitcoin is still very unstable.
1: value is the so-called currency born from the early decentralized blockchain Technology (in fact, the capital owns the centralized computing power, and the capital owns the centralized currency quantity, which may not be ideal here). At that time, people had certain expectations and beliefs. The decentralized low trust cost world chase was a good future imagination, which made most people recognize its value (of course, it also caused negative use value, which could not be controlled and regulated by the government, and provided a lot of extra convenience)
of course, some attributes of digital currency can be used for reference, Now countries are also in the trend of legal digital currency. Due to certain technical reasons, BTC may eventually disappear, or it is difficult to achieve the vision of believers. If there is no better change of technology, the limitation of technology will be phased out with the current development of science and technology
2: of course, the price is basically determined by market transactions. BTC is used by a lot of capital, and more value may be used as financial value Another common perception of price is that the quantity is limited and the output is getting slower and slower. With the increase of the use area, the scarcity increases the price, and the story of halving the price is also a good help for capitalists)
because it is a minority, there is no regulation, so the power of capital has a great impact on the price. The good effect of getting rich can attract more and more people to come into the market. The exchanges of various capital institutions have solved the problems of business instry, gained some additional operating income, and created instries (such as basic financial derivatives and more)
including this year's events, with the epidemic situation and the situation in the United States, new financial derivatives are manufactured by joint institutions. In the secondary market, a new circular wealth story is born. This mode is still relatively solid, with stable prices and rising prices. Of course, the final digester is the ordinary people
at the same time, the characteristics of BTC also lead to a part of human allocation of hedging assets
and so on, the price of BTC is proced under the game
personal final conclusion (for reference only): bitcoin is more of a kind of financial value, its use value is still limited at present, and it is also very difficult to promote in the future. If the technology does not evolve, it will still be small. Of course, the game of the world government is also a certain resistance
the current price is based on the financial game of institutions, and it is stable to a certain extent. The premise is that if there is no new large number of people participating in the game, the current rising trend will slow down, and the gray scale and institutions are also expanding the playing methods of other digital currencies (after all, the number of BTCs targeted by GBTC has accounted for more of the total BTCs - physical contribution plus less cash contribution), But there may still be a rise, but when it will be the top depends on the results of various games (I think there are several points: 1. How long can the game between the trading frequency and holding amount of BTC or other currencies in the primary market last, and when people's purchase and consumption will reach a limit. It can't be bought and sold all the time, there is a limit when what the 2. gradation and what the BTC of the GBTC corresponds to is the two level market digestion of the market, when it will be indigestion is also a game... Etc.)
BTC has bubble, and the financial game of capital is full of bubbles. Of course, this is the opportunity to get rich easily.
but the risk is very high, which is not suitable for the public. It can only be said that it depends on fortune and opportunity
BTC has big moves with every financial trend game
investment should be cautious.
after World War II, the Bretton Woods system was established in the last century.
it was decided that the US dollar should be pegged to gold, and the currencies of all countries should be pegged to the US dollar.
a fixed exchange rate was determined.
the value of the currencies of all countries was basically determined in the 1970s e to the economic development of the United States The value of each country's currency is partly or completely determined by the market
about a country's instry
the value of currency is not only determined by the domestic market situation
the more important factor is the trade between countries
about a country's instry The development of the financial instry
first of all, the state usually does not take rigid measures to intervene in the operation of a certain part of the market
China is a socialist market economy system, the degree of freedom of the market is relatively high
and sometimes excessive market intervention will not receive the expected effect, but will self defeating The profits generated by the operation of financial procts such as securities and Futures and their derivatives are not included in GDP
so the saying that finance accounts for a high proportion of the economy does not seem to be true
if it refers to the financial market
the state only takes necessary measures to ensure the healthy and stable operation of the financial market
rather than hindering its development
after all, China's financial market is not stable The financial market has just started, the system is not perfect, there are many loopholes
and there is a lack of relevant laws and regulations
It is determined by the time value and labor value of money
The exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in another. Without the influence of other non market factors, the exchange rate should follow the general law of commodity market, that is, it is determined by the supply and demand of this kind of money caused by economic activities. Price is a reflection of value, which usually fluctuates around valuein the long run, under the condition of near complete market economy, price and value are basically the same. Therefore, the theory of monetary value (from the perspective of exchange rate generation mechanism to see the prospect of RMB appreciation) discusses the long-term exchange rate generation mechanism under the floating exchange rate system, that is, from the perspective of how the value of one currency is reflected by another currency
Currency is the medium between proction and consumption. People who provide labor services to obtain money have the right to demand corresponding amount of relative labor. Therefore, currency is based on the prior service and used to cancel the claim for goods, or currency is based on the prior service and used to request the relative service certificate The value of money is determined by the value of the commodity which can be obtained by the claim or certificate. The purchasing power of a unit of money is determined by the ratio of the total amount of goods of the whole society to the total amount of money purchased1. The factors that affect the time value of money include time, rate of return or inflation, simple interest and compound interest. Among them, the length of time is the primary factor affecting the time value of money. The longer the time, the more obvious the time value of money
The law of value is that the value of goods is determined by the social necessary labor time needed to proce goods. The exchange of goods must be based on the quantity of value and be equivalent The relationship between supply and demand of goods affects the price of goods: when the supply exceeds the demand, the price of goods rises and the buyer's market appears; When the supply exceeds the demand, the commodity price falls and the seller's market appears
4. Price changes are affected by supply and demand, and the price is ultimately determined by value: the greater the value of a commodity, the higher the price of the commodity; the lower the value of the commodity, the lower the price
extended data:
the regulatory role of money
1
Control inflation by controlling interest rate and monetary aggregate to keep the overall price level stable Adjust the proportion of consumption and savings in national income 4. Guide the transformation of savings to investment and realize the rational allocation of resources