How to look at the fundamentals of virtual currency
There is no definition and distinction between game currency and stock, derivative financial instruments, especially electronic currency. In fact, there is an internal thread that can run through these different forms of virtual currency, which is the performance maturity of personalized value. We can summarize it logically as follows:
Bank e-money
Bank e-money was initially a kind of "pseudo virtual money". It only has the form of virtual currency, such as digitization and symbolization, but it does not have the essence of virtual currency and has nothing to do with personalization. For example, it is just the counterpart of paper money; It may be issued by the central bank; It may be in the same market as the money market. However, bank e-money has broken through the extension of money, that is, it can also be issued not by the central bank, but by information service providers, as was the case with several early e-money. The second breakthrough is the liquidity of bank e-money, which far exceeds that of ordinary money. Therefore, it implies a challenge to the pricing power of currency price level. For example, in overnight lending, if the same money is turned over several times in the form of electronic money, although from the traditional monetary point of view, nothing has happened, but from the perspective of virtual money circulation speed, it has actually changed the conditions of money price level
credit information currency
stock is the most typical credit information currency. Its essence is virtual and it is a kind of virtual currency with personalized characteristics. It is the most realistic foundation of the current virtual economy. Stock market and derivative financial instrument market constitute a large-scale and unified virtual money market. They are not only based on entity business, but also supported by a wide range of information services such as trust business and insurance business. The so-called unified market refers to that the market as a whole can be exchanged with the money market at the overall level of national income. Historically, only when money forms a unified market, that is, the main body of the national economy is monetized, can the adjustment of money quantity and interest rate on the national economy be discussed. The same is true for the virtual economy. This issue is not without dispute. Although the scale of the virtual economy is several times larger than that of the real economy, a large part of the real economy has not entered the unified market. If the game currency is compared with stocks, its progress in this respect is far from satisfactory. Only through the two stages of entertainment instrialization and instrial entertainment, it is possible to reach the level of unified market
analyzing the stock market and derivative financial instrument market, the biggest difference between the stock market and the general money market is that its circulation speed cannot be directly determined by the central bank. For example, as a virtual currency, the price level of stock index can not be directly determined by the central bank like the interest rate, but by the so-called "confidence" of people. The fundamentals of the central bank and the real capital market can only indirectly determine the stock market, not directly. So I think the stock market is an information market, not a money market
compared with the mature virtual money market, the main characteristics of the stock market are incomplete. The stock market integrates the noise at all reference points (i.e. indivial gain and loss values) into a unified reference value, which is combined with the standard value (utility value on the basis and general equilibrium value) to form the continuous fluctuation of the market around the utility value. Although it is different from the money market with the central bank as the center for orderly centripetal movement, it is not different from the money market. From the point of view of the real virtual money market, the characteristic of this market is the incommensurable personalized fixed value. In this sense, the centralized stock market has not achieved this function, and the independent role of the stock market as the so-called "casino" has not been played. Thirdly,
the fundamental function of personalized credit voucher
virtual currency is to synthesize value on the spot of personality, rather than to determine a rational value in isolation at an equilibrium point separated from the real world. The significance of virtual currency is to establish a value system centered on the final consumer. After the full realization of virtual currency, the single currency with general equivalent function will tend to be backward. Game currency is the experimental field of virtual currency at a higher stage, and it is difficult to be a major task. The ideal virtual currency is the value symbol of the real world. In the general equivalent exchange, the specific use value and the corresponding subject of the specific use value, namely the non-homogeneous needs and personalized needs of people, are completely filtered out. Virtual currency will change all this, through the virtual way, people's heterogeneous needs and personalized needs will be anchored to the fundamentals by indivial reference point, and the value will be synthesized. Therefore, virtual currency must have two sides, one is to have the function of commodity exchange, the other is to have the function of barter. Through the former to overcome the relativity and subjectivity of value, through the latter to achieve personalized value confirmation. In order to achieve this goal, virtual currency must realize a huge transformation, which is to transform to dialogue system and become interactive currency. The bargaining here is aimed at the level of currency price. Recall that the transformation from text to dialogue, which has been realized for decades, is the direction of the transformation of virtual currency. The value of game currency is uncertain. When people exchange game currency, it is uncertain whether the ultimate happiness they may get is above or below the currency value until they participate in the game. The game is a dialogue process. Of course, various value-added functions of game currency have not been developed in combination with personalized information services. If this kind of value-added business is fully developed, game currency will not be used because of the different businesses providing services, which may become an advantage over stocks
a fully personalized virtual currency may be a kind of currency card with additional information, and its value is to be confirmed. Virtual currency with specific undetermined function and resial value, on the one hand, its information can have room for reinterpretation like text, on the other hand, it has the potential of karaoke like redevelopment. Its information value has an open interface and can be added again. If they are exchanged in the secondary market like the stock market, they may float up and down in the basic par value with their personalized information, and they will have more attractiveness like stocks. Game currency only has the function of value circulation, but not the function of market platform, so it is only an imperfect virtual currency. The reason is the lack of corresponding instrial base
1. There are great risks in the currency market! There is no absolutely reliable method, but there is a relative one. Novices suggest small investments, such as investing 10000 yuan first
2. Fundamental analysis: check the data to understand the application value, development team, circulation, cost and price of the currency. Choose the public chain with low price
3. Technical analysis: bitcoin is equivalent to the stock market, focusing on indivial stocks. Most of the currencies have Zhuang, so it is feasible to follow Zhuang, and the K-line analysis in the stock market is also effective, but pay attention to the huge rise and fall, which can rise 10 times in a row or fall 90%
4, news analysis: project implementation, new platform, legalization in a country and so on are all good, which can be more than doubled. Policy determines the life and death of the currency market, so once there is a regulatory bad, we should sell short first
5. Choose a reliable platform: safety first, convenient to charge
History has proved that every big drop is a good opportunity for you to enter the market! But no one knows where the bottom is, so you can start with a 50% drop and build positions in batches7. Therefore, it is suggested that after making money, we should first set up the company, and then we should have a good attitude in net profit operation
the reason for the collapse of digital currency is that the valuation is too high and the rise is too large. Digital currency itself does not proce any profit. The rise is basically speculation, which is easy to cause panic selling and collapse
with the continuous development of economy at any time, science and technology has brought us a lot of changes, and these emerging instries have attracted many people's attention. If we grasp the opportunities, the emerging instries are completely likely to change our destiny. The main reason for the collapse of digital currency is that the rise of digital currency is too large. Digital currency itself does not proce any profit. A thing that does not proce any profit will rise tens of times or tens of thousands of times. This is completely speculation. Anything that goes up is a risk. At this time, a little panic will lead to selling. This is also the reason for the collapse of digital currency
Third, what do you think of the digital currency collapseI think it's normal for digital currency to collapse, because a commodity has a huge short-term rise, and the commodity can't generate profits. The key is that digital currency has no reference, and the rise has no fundamental support. It will certainly collapse in case of panic. I think it's very normal. This is speculation, and speculation will certainly have risks, It's just as expected
analyze and observe the price and trading volume data, so as to judge the trend of these data in the future. When evaluating a country's currency with another country's currency, the fundamental analysis includes the study of macroeconomic indicators, asset markets and political factors. Macroeconomic indicators, including economic growth rate, are calculated by GDP, interest rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate, money supply, foreign exchange reserves and proctivity. Asset markets include
stocks, bonds and real estate. Political factors will affect the degree of trust in a government, social stability climate and
confidence.
On August 4, the closing price of onshore RMB against US dollar was 6.7181, a new high in nearly 10 months, up 52 basis points from the previous trading day, and 248 basis points this week At the same time, the European economy is still in the process of accelerating. At present, the growth rate has exceeded that of the United States, and the marginal tightening of the European Central Bank's easing policy will lead to the continued appreciation of the euro against the US dollar. In short, the US dollar index is expected to continue to slow down and push the RMB exchange rate higher against the US dollar
On August 4, the central parity rate of RMB against US dollar rose 79 basis points to 6.7132, a new high since October 11 last year. This week, the central parity rate of RMB against US dollar rose 241 basis pointsit was also analyzed that with the graal expansion of the process of the Federal Reserve's scale rection in the second half of the year, the momentum of the decline of the US dollar index may slow down, which will also frame the space for the RMB exchange rate to rise further against the US dollar, and the RMB exchange rate will probably show a two-way fluctuation and generally stable trend
However, at present, the trend is relatively stable< br />with reference to this, the RMB has been greatly over issued. In the future, when China's economy is facing crisis, RMB may have greater risks.