Investment view of virtual currency
virtual currency is a currency that can buy goods and services in a specific community in a virtual space. It has the monetary function of medium of exchange and unit of account
virtual currency can be roughly divided into three categories
the first category
has nothing to do with real currency, and can only be used in a closed virtual environment, usually online games, such as world of Warcraft
the second type of one-way exchange can only be used in a virtual environment, and sometimes physical goods and services can be purchased, such as frequent flyer award program, microsoft points, Nintendo points, Facebook credits and Amazon coin
the third type of two-way exchange, which has a buying price and a selling price, is the same as "real" currency, including those issued by issuers, such as second life Linden coin, two-way exchangeable game currency, etc., as well as decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, Leyte coin, Ethereum, etc; Virtual currency & quot; But cryptocurrency is only one of the subcategories of virtual currency.
bitcoin price has been cut by the waist
how to implement blockchain application is still the main problem. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage. Looking back to the second half of 2017, the price of bitcoin almost reached a new high every day, and finally reached the peak in the South Korean exchange with the highest premium in the world - about 140000 yuan per piece. On June 3, 2018, as of press time, coinbase bitcoin trading platform quoted 49688 yuan, and the price of bitcoin has been cut. Since the beginning of this year, the price of bitcoin has rarely seen eye popping ups and downs, and the overall trend of monthly decline
bitcoin development status
according to the data of the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of the blockchain instry released by the foresight Instry Research Institute, bitcoin prices showed a downward trend in May, with the overall market value falling from US $157.3 billion at the beginning of the month to US $127.4 billion at the end of the month, a decrease of 19%; In addition, there are 444000 active addresses and 197000 transfers per day. From the trend point of view, the number of active addresses and daily transfers are positively correlated with the transaction price. In May, the overall trend is volatile, and the downward trend is very obvious
reasons for the steady decline of bitcoin in the past half year
how to understand the "steady decline" of bitcoin in the past half year? There are two main reasons: firstly, the most important reason is that institutional investors and speculators who have accumulated a large number of "profit" are cashing in their profits and leaving the market; Secondly, before the blockchain instry has no real application and profit model, the rise of bitcoin price can only be regarded as speculative speculation. In addition, it is an undeniable fact that the Central Bank of China has made a decisive move to close the bitcoin trading platform, which has achieved remarkable results in preventing bitcoin speculation
at present, the domestic bitcoin exchanges have basically moved to foreign countries, which has nothing to do with China. Investors operate on those platforms at their own risk
the current market is not very good. Only when the market is good, can investors find ways to participate in bitcoin investment. As the total market value of the coin circle is still small, with more blockchain applications, there is still potential in the future
over consumed blockchain
e to the "tepid" price of bitcoin, blockchain, as its underlying technology, has reached the level of "known to all women and children", and even surpassed bitcoin in recent years
recently, a series of related reports are suspected of making up for the number and full of hype, and blockchain has obviously been over consumed. In addition to bitcoin, the large-scale application of blockchain in other scenarios has not yet reached the commercial stage
with the graal deepening of the understanding of blockchain technology, domestic enterprises have laid out blockchain technology, platforms and applications, including Internet enterprises such as network, Tencent, Ali, Jingdong, Netease, major banks, financial enterprises such as Ping An of China and Huawei. In terms of application, China actively explores and promotes blockchain + applications in the form of alliance chain and private chain to help solve the pain points of related instries, improve efficiency and rece costs.
The investment risk of virtual currency is high, and the transaction of virtual currency has been banned in China
strengthen the management of token financing trading platform according to Article 3 of the notice on preventing the financing risk of token issuance. From the date of this announcement, any so-called token financing trading platform shall not engage in the exchange business between legal tender and token and "virtual currency", nor buy or sell token or "virtual currency" as a central counterpart, nor provide pricing, information intermediary and other services for token or "virtual currency"
for the token financing trading platform with illegal problems, the financial management department will request the competent department of telecommunications to close its website platform and mobile app according to law, request the network information department to remove the mobile app from the app store, and request the instrial and commercial administration department to revoke its business license according to law
Article 4 financial institutions and non bank payment institutions shall not carry out business related to token issuance financing transactions. All financial institutions and non bank payment institutions shall not directly or indirectly provide procts or services such as account opening, registration, trading, clearing and settlement for token issuance and financing and "virtual currency", nor undertake insurance business related to token and "virtual currency" or include token and "virtual currency" into the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions and non bank payment institutions shall report to the relevant departments in a timely manner if they find clues of violation of laws and regulations in token issuance financing transactions
extended materials:
"notice on preventing the financing risk of token issuance" Article 1 accurately understand the essential attribute of token issuance financing activities. Token issuance financing refers to the financing subject raising bitcoin, ether coin and other so-called "virtual currency" from investors through the illegal sale and circulation of token, In essence, it is a kind of unauthorized illegal public financing, which is suspected of illegal sale of token tickets, illegal issuance of securities, illegal fund-raising, financial fraud, pyramid selling and other illegal and criminal activities
Relevant departments will closely monitor relevant developments, strengthen cooperation with judicial departments and local governments, strictly enforce the law in accordance with the current working mechanism, and resolutely deal with market chaos. If suspected crimes are found, they will be transferred to judicial organs. The token or "virtual currency" used in token issuance financing is not issued by the monetary authority, does not have such monetary attributes as legal compensation and compulsion, does not have the same legal status as currency, and cannot and should not be used as currency in the marketVirtual currency is not a real coin, but a virtual thing. Virtual currency also has its own value, because it is a kind of training for investors
they think that some virtual currencies will have a great market, so at this time, as an investor, unique vision is very important. If you enter too late, then the virtual currency may not have any value. If you enter too early, it may not be what you expect. So at this time, the entry time is very important
So virtual currency can also make us grow rapidly, which is the judgment of the overall situation and the learning of knowledge. So virtual currency, for us, is a kind of income. Of course, we don't know how much this kind of income is in the early stage. Secondly, it enables us to learn quickly and improve our knowledge literacy, and it can also learn through continuous practice and combine practice with learning. These are exactly what we need to do, He also plays the role of supervisionmoney circle, one day, ten years on earth
the high housing prices destroyed the post-80s and post-90s
and then the world came back. Today's virtual currency
the post-80s also pulled back a round. Whether it is worth buying is not to see whether its current price is high or low
but to see whether it has value in the future and whether it will be useful for everyone's life There must be only a few bitcoins in total.
bitcoin has become a kind of value preservation proct corresponding to gold
decentralized anonymity advantage
bitcoin comparable to gold
moreover, more and more businesses have accepted bitcoin transactions
some institutions have also accepted bitcoin donations, and bitcoin ATM has become a hot topic Put into use
the second is
Ethereum (ETH)
it can be said that it is an evolutionary version of bitcoin
bitcoin is gold, Ethereum is silver
Ethereum's technology can be applied to real world applications
JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, etc. are all optimistic about Ethereum technology
In my opinion, the most stable return is the twoand the other multifarious currencies have gone up and down sharply. Ordinary people's hearts can't stand
at present, domestic users can buy through this website
transactions
it's not the price rise of the currency but the price rise of the currency through the bar The number of coins is rising
virtual currency originally refers to non real currency.
in the case that virtual currency is connected with reality, virtual currency has its real value. Well known virtual currencies such as Tencent's q-coin, q-point, Shanda's roll, Sina's u-coin meter ticket (used in igome game), chivalrous Yuanbao (used in chivalrous road game), and so on, In the era of stand-alone games, the protagonists accumulate money by knocking down the enemy and winning money in gambling houses to buy Herbs and equipment, At that time, there was no "market" between players. Since the Internet established the portal and community and realized the game networking, there has been a "financial market" for virtual currency, and players can trade game currency.
the second type is the special currency issued by portal websites or instant messaging service providers, Tencent's q-coin is the most widely used to purchase services on this website. It can be used to purchase membership, QQ show and other value-added services.
Third, the difference between real currency and virtual currency
the first feature: different value formation mechanisms.
general currency and virtual currency have different value bases, the former represents utility, The latter represents value.
as a general equivalent, the "price" of currency is called value in language, but actually refers to utility. Virtual currency does not represent the "effect" of general "price", but the value itself.
virtual currency is not a general equivalent, but a manifestation of value relativity, or a symbol of expression; It can also be said that virtual currency is a personalized currency.
the second feature is that the monetary decision mechanism is different.
general currency is decided by the central bank, while virtual currency is decided by indivials.
reflected in the monetary decision mechanism, real currency is decided by the central bank; The virtual money market (such as stock market and game money market) is determined by forces outside the central bank, The economy formed by stock market and derivative financial market is called fictitious economy. The essence of fictitious economy is information economy with indivial as the center.
the third characteristic is that the value exchange mechanism is different.
the value conversion of general currency is completed in the money market; The value exchange between general currency and virtual currency is completed through the overall exchange of the two markets. Under special conditions, there is an immature exchange relationship between indivial markets. Therefore, it can be said that general currency and virtual currency are in different markets.
some people worry that game virtual currency may cause inflation, Just as the imbalance of supply and demand in the commodity market can not directly lead to the imbalance of supply and demand in the money market, it must be through the issuance of additional money in the overall market to lead to inflation; At present, the stock market is a unified market, but the game market is not.
for example, the ratio of a certain game virtual currency to RMB may initially be 800000 to 1, Then it may change to 8 million to 1. Maybe the virtual currency of a castle today will be enough to buy a Tomahawk tomorrow; If the virtual currency forms a unified market, it may indeed exert pressure on the money market. The problem is that there is no such unified market now. The issuers of game currency are independent of each other and do not have the status of financial subject, let alone the exchange with currency at the level of financial market. What's more, whether it is base currency or value-added currency, The currency volume (m) and the currency price level (V, i.e. the velocity of circulation) have not changed, so it can not be considered that there will be monetary inflation or deflation.
for the current game currency depreciation, it is better to explain that the service conditions of a game as a value-added service have changed, As the demand for virtual currency increases, the price of services involved and the price level of virtual currency decrease. Due to the change of supply and demand conditions of such services, the price of services decreases. This is a phenomenon that can be explained by a real commodity market
from q-coin and counting roll used to buy props to bitcoin which can be exchanged with us dollar and euro today. It shows that the utilization rate and universality of virtual currency are graally increasing. I think this kind of virtual currency has both advantages and disadvantages. Virtual currency makes up for the deficiency of currency, but it will not replace the real currency
1. Security of virtual currency. The day before yesterday, a bitcoin trading platform headquartered in Japan was favored by many people. However, e to the loss of 750000 bitcoins from customers and 100000 bitcoins of its own, the company had to file for bankruptcy protection. This fully shows that the security of virtual currency is difficult to guarantee
2. The use of money cannot be regulated. The problem is that there is no manager similar to the central bank. Due to the strong anonymity, it is easy to be used for illegal transactions such as speculation and drugs, as well as money laundering. Without the network of financial institutions, it is difficult to grasp their liquidity, which will bring difficulties to taxation
although it has many uncertainties, virtual currency is very effective and reliable to a certain extent
1. The possibility of inflation of virtual currency is small, and it is not affected by policy. Avoiding the influence of the central government on finance, virtual currency can prove the stability of its value because of its limited circulation. It will not raise prices and lower the value of money because of the increase of money supply
2. Strong circulation. People can use bitcoin to trade anywhere in the world where there are networks and computers, which is very convenient
it not only saves time, but also saves a lot of transaction costs
after comparison, I think that the virtual currency will be saturated and will not pose a threat to the real currency. On the one hand, in the backward regions and countries, they rely more on currency, resulting in a gap with the developed regions. On the other hand, with the development of network technology, the security of virtual currency will be more and more difficult to determine. It is also very difficult for people to use a lot of money in the form of virtual currency in huge investment. Especially in a country with traditional culture such as China, people are more confident that they will hand over their property to the financial instry such as banks, rather than in the online world like flowers in the mirror< There is no comparability between bitcoin and stock. Stock is people's profit expectation for a company. For example, a company constantly proces new procts to increase its wealth. People can obtain wealth growth with the company by holding shares of the company. And the stock is an investment proct, without monetary attribute, it is impossible to say how much ICBC stock an iPad is worth. On the contrary, like bitcoin, the stock can be converted into legal currency through the exchange to purchase the iPad. Similarly, in the so-called companies that accept bitcoin payment, all of them are marked with legal currency. They accept bitcoin through a third-party company, and finally receive legal currency from a third-party company
therefore, stock is people's expectation for the future development of a company, and it is an investment proct. There is no comparison with bitcoin, which clamors to become a currency
2. The existence of money lies in circulation and pricing. A thing that has been reced to a speculative tool since its existence, expecting appreciation and redistributing wealth can not become money
3. As cndx God said, bitcoin will have 2.0 in the future, which will be seamlessly connected with 1.0. That's funny. Why should the inventor of 2.0 connect with 1.0? Just as bitcoin does not connect with RMB, it is another opportunity for wealth redistribution
4. The existence of virtual currency can only meet the money laundering needs of a small number of people, so there is a market. For example, if someone wants to launder US $1 million recently, the ratio of bitcoin to legal currency will change, which is also in line with the market rules. Of course, money laundering is risky. If you buy one million dollars of bitcoin, you will hold it forever without losing any money
5. My legal currency is in the bank. If I lose it, I can still get it back with my ID card. Is my bitcoin password gone? Who should I go to
6. The currency expected by cndx will not be lost. At most, it will play in a certain circle just like Q currency
7. This thing is the proct of anarchism. If you want to embody value, you can only do it without government. The distribution of wealth depends on power and blood. For example, if you hold 10000 bitcoins, ZF says not to use them, and you say I'll use them. Bang, you're dead. Oh, bitcoin has appreciated again, because the total amount is less than 10000.