The consequences of virtual currency
Publish: 2021-04-16 17:22:08
1. There must be risks. Theoretically speaking, if the existence of network currency affects the demand for the central bank's liabilities, and then interferes with the central bank's open market operation, it will have an impact on a country's monetary policy and price stability. However, from a practical point of view, the premise of network currency affecting price stability includes the following three aspects:
(1) from the analysis of the impact on the amount of money, although it is difficult to analyze the extent to which the network currency scheme creates money in the case of lack of information
however, most of the network currency systems operate in the prepaid mode, that is, issuing network currency when the real currency is exchanged in and withdrawing the currency when the real currency is exchanged out, which has limited impact. In the famous network currency scheme, the money supply is stable and the supply is small, but we still need to be vigilant whether it can ensure that the money supply will maintain a stable level in the long run, and the impact of the change of exchange rate between network currency and real currency.
(1) from the analysis of the impact on the amount of money, although it is difficult to analyze the extent to which the network currency scheme creates money in the case of lack of information
however, most of the network currency systems operate in the prepaid mode, that is, issuing network currency when the real currency is exchanged in and withdrawing the currency when the real currency is exchanged out, which has limited impact. In the famous network currency scheme, the money supply is stable and the supply is small, but we still need to be vigilant whether it can ensure that the money supply will maintain a stable level in the long run, and the impact of the change of exchange rate between network currency and real currency.
2. What is virtual currency? Virtual currency refers to non real currency. Due to the development of Internet society, it was born. Network virtual currency can be roughly divided into:
the first category is familiar game currency
since the Internet has established a portal and community to realize the game networking, there has been a "financial market" for virtual currency, where players can trade game currency
the second type is the special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider, which is used to purchase the services in the website. The most widely used is Tencent's q-coin, which can be used to purchase membership, QQ show and other value-added services
the third kind of virtual currency on the Internet, such as bitcoin (BTC), Wright currency (LTC), etc. It is mainly used for Internet financial investment, and can also be directly used in daily life as a new currency
from the above classification, we can see that the impact of different types of virtual currency on our economic life is divided into fields and groups. Mainly in the field of Internet game crowd and network service users are most affected
the functions derived from bitcoin and directly used in daily life have been declared illegal by the state financial regulatory authorities. The impact on people's lives is invisible.
the first category is familiar game currency
since the Internet has established a portal and community to realize the game networking, there has been a "financial market" for virtual currency, where players can trade game currency
the second type is the special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider, which is used to purchase the services in the website. The most widely used is Tencent's q-coin, which can be used to purchase membership, QQ show and other value-added services
the third kind of virtual currency on the Internet, such as bitcoin (BTC), Wright currency (LTC), etc. It is mainly used for Internet financial investment, and can also be directly used in daily life as a new currency
from the above classification, we can see that the impact of different types of virtual currency on our economic life is divided into fields and groups. Mainly in the field of Internet game crowd and network service users are most affected
the functions derived from bitcoin and directly used in daily life have been declared illegal by the state financial regulatory authorities. The impact on people's lives is invisible.
3.
the impact of virtual currency on e-commerce is as follows:
-
the impact of virtual currency on the financial system
-
the network security of virtual currency
-
inflation in the virtual world
4. If there is no way to transfer virtual currency into legal currency, no matter how it is issued, there is no real harm
however, once it is legally linked with fiat money, it means that fiat money has the obligation to convert virtual money into fiat money. This is very dangerous
because there is no limit to the issuance of virtual currency, once there is a legal link, it is equivalent to the unlimited issuance of legal currency
although QQ coin seems to have the function of currency and can buy a lot of things on QQ, in the final analysis, it is all virtual things, and its essence is commodity.
however, once it is legally linked with fiat money, it means that fiat money has the obligation to convert virtual money into fiat money. This is very dangerous
because there is no limit to the issuance of virtual currency, once there is a legal link, it is equivalent to the unlimited issuance of legal currency
although QQ coin seems to have the function of currency and can buy a lot of things on QQ, in the final analysis, it is all virtual things, and its essence is commodity.
5. Give consumers a dishonest approach
6. 1 Price stability risk
theoretically, if the existence of network currency affects the demand for the central bank's liabilities, and then interferes with the central bank's open market operation, it will have an impact on a country's monetary policy and price stability. However, from a practical point of view, the premise of network currency affecting price stability includes the following three aspects:
(1) from the analysis of the impact on the amount of money, although it is difficult to analyze the extent to which the network currency scheme creates money in the case of lack of information The best digital currency trading platform is "currency exchange")
however, most network currency systems operate in the prepaid mode, that is, issuing network currency when changing in real currency and withdrawing currency when changing out real currency, which has limited impact. In the famous network currency scheme, the money supply is stable and the supply is small, but we still need to be vigilant whether it can ensure that the money supply will maintain a stable level in the long run, and the impact of the change of exchange rate between network currency and real currency
(2) from the analysis of the impact on the speed of money circulation, cash use and money statistics, the impact of the technological innovation brought by the network currency scheme on the speed of money circulation is not clear
as an Internet instry, this largely depends on the number of active internet currency scheme users. If the network currency is widely accepted, it will have a substitution effect on the real currency of the central bank, thus recing the use of cash in transactions. In this case, the size of the central bank's balance sheet will be reced, and its ability to influence short-term interest rates will be weakened. The central bank will need to fight against risks through ways such as setting minimum reserves for cyber currencies. Substitution effect will aggravate the difficulty of monetary statistics and affect the relationship between monetary statistics and inflation, which is not concive to the realization of long-term price stability. In addition, the issue of network currency outside the central bank and the expansion of virtual credit will have an impact on the transmission of the central bank's interest rate decision in the economy and weaken the central bank's monetary control
(3) based on the analysis of the interaction between network currency and real economy, network currency can act as a real commodity trading medium and have an impact on real GDP
the impact of Internet money on real money supply depends on two aspects: one is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; the other is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; The second is the crowding out effect of network currency on real currency, that is, with the increase of the total amount of network currency, the amount of cash held by the public in real life decreases, resulting in the decrease of cash / deposit ratio and the increase of currency multiplier. In reality, the network virtual currency scheme will not affect the price stability at this stage, and the currency flow speed will not be significantly affected in the short and medium term. However, the interaction between network currency and real economy deserves attention
(2) financial stability risk
when the network virtual currency scheme operates outside the banking system, the most important factor of financial instability lies in its connection with the real economy, namely exchange rate and exchange market. Obviously, the closed network currency scheme and the one-way network currency scheme are not affected, so we should focus on the two-way network currency scheme. The value of two-way network currency depends on the level of money supply and demand in the exchange market. A big difference between network currency and real currency is that the network currency scheme is not based on the country or currency region, and the influence of virtual economy intensity, trade or proction capacity on its exchange rate is limited. The price and fluctuation of virtual money depend on five factors:
(1) money supply and other actions taken by money issuers. For example: to achieve a fixed or semi fixed exchange rate by intervening in the market
(2) network currency scheme shows network externality, and its monetary value depends on the number of users and merchants. As the number of consumers and businesses increases, their monetary value will increase accordingly. In addition, the exchange rate of network currency with small transaction volume fluctuates more
(3) virtual communities with clear and transparent policies and advanced security measures are easier to boost confidence, and the currency is stronger
(4) the reputation of network currency issuers in fulfilling their commitments. There is no "lender of last resort" in the virtual community, and the trust gained by the issuer is crucial to the exchange rate of internet currency
(5) speculation on the future value of Internet money and cyber attacks on virtual communities. Due to the immaturity of the system, low trading, speculative activities and network attacks, the two-way network currency scheme is inherently unstable. At present, the trading volume of these network currencies is small and the correlation with the real economy is low, so the stability of the financial system will not be affected. However, if Internet money becomes a substitute for traditional money in the future, it will bring instability to the financial system, and even distort the relative prices of goods and services. The impact of network currency system on the financial system largely depends on the number of active users and the number of merchants willing to accept virtual currency for real transactions. In addition, virtual currency has only exchange value and no use value. Generally, network currency is not based on assets with intrinsic value and is not supported by central bank credit. At present, these network monetary systems are not allowed to lend or borrow funds, so they can not pose a threat to the stability of the financial system. However, we should pay close attention to their development. If there is any change in the future, it will undoubtedly have an impact on the financial system.
theoretically, if the existence of network currency affects the demand for the central bank's liabilities, and then interferes with the central bank's open market operation, it will have an impact on a country's monetary policy and price stability. However, from a practical point of view, the premise of network currency affecting price stability includes the following three aspects:
(1) from the analysis of the impact on the amount of money, although it is difficult to analyze the extent to which the network currency scheme creates money in the case of lack of information The best digital currency trading platform is "currency exchange")
however, most network currency systems operate in the prepaid mode, that is, issuing network currency when changing in real currency and withdrawing currency when changing out real currency, which has limited impact. In the famous network currency scheme, the money supply is stable and the supply is small, but we still need to be vigilant whether it can ensure that the money supply will maintain a stable level in the long run, and the impact of the change of exchange rate between network currency and real currency
(2) from the analysis of the impact on the speed of money circulation, cash use and money statistics, the impact of the technological innovation brought by the network currency scheme on the speed of money circulation is not clear
as an Internet instry, this largely depends on the number of active internet currency scheme users. If the network currency is widely accepted, it will have a substitution effect on the real currency of the central bank, thus recing the use of cash in transactions. In this case, the size of the central bank's balance sheet will be reced, and its ability to influence short-term interest rates will be weakened. The central bank will need to fight against risks through ways such as setting minimum reserves for cyber currencies. Substitution effect will aggravate the difficulty of monetary statistics and affect the relationship between monetary statistics and inflation, which is not concive to the realization of long-term price stability. In addition, the issue of network currency outside the central bank and the expansion of virtual credit will have an impact on the transmission of the central bank's interest rate decision in the economy and weaken the central bank's monetary control
(3) based on the analysis of the interaction between network currency and real economy, network currency can act as a real commodity trading medium and have an impact on real GDP
the impact of Internet money on real money supply depends on two aspects: one is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; the other is the substitution effect of virtual economy on real economy; The second is the crowding out effect of network currency on real currency, that is, with the increase of the total amount of network currency, the amount of cash held by the public in real life decreases, resulting in the decrease of cash / deposit ratio and the increase of currency multiplier. In reality, the network virtual currency scheme will not affect the price stability at this stage, and the currency flow speed will not be significantly affected in the short and medium term. However, the interaction between network currency and real economy deserves attention
(2) financial stability risk
when the network virtual currency scheme operates outside the banking system, the most important factor of financial instability lies in its connection with the real economy, namely exchange rate and exchange market. Obviously, the closed network currency scheme and the one-way network currency scheme are not affected, so we should focus on the two-way network currency scheme. The value of two-way network currency depends on the level of money supply and demand in the exchange market. A big difference between network currency and real currency is that the network currency scheme is not based on the country or currency region, and the influence of virtual economy intensity, trade or proction capacity on its exchange rate is limited. The price and fluctuation of virtual money depend on five factors:
(1) money supply and other actions taken by money issuers. For example: to achieve a fixed or semi fixed exchange rate by intervening in the market
(2) network currency scheme shows network externality, and its monetary value depends on the number of users and merchants. As the number of consumers and businesses increases, their monetary value will increase accordingly. In addition, the exchange rate of network currency with small transaction volume fluctuates more
(3) virtual communities with clear and transparent policies and advanced security measures are easier to boost confidence, and the currency is stronger
(4) the reputation of network currency issuers in fulfilling their commitments. There is no "lender of last resort" in the virtual community, and the trust gained by the issuer is crucial to the exchange rate of internet currency
(5) speculation on the future value of Internet money and cyber attacks on virtual communities. Due to the immaturity of the system, low trading, speculative activities and network attacks, the two-way network currency scheme is inherently unstable. At present, the trading volume of these network currencies is small and the correlation with the real economy is low, so the stability of the financial system will not be affected. However, if Internet money becomes a substitute for traditional money in the future, it will bring instability to the financial system, and even distort the relative prices of goods and services. The impact of network currency system on the financial system largely depends on the number of active users and the number of merchants willing to accept virtual currency for real transactions. In addition, virtual currency has only exchange value and no use value. Generally, network currency is not based on assets with intrinsic value and is not supported by central bank credit. At present, these network monetary systems are not allowed to lend or borrow funds, so they can not pose a threat to the stability of the financial system. However, we should pay close attention to their development. If there is any change in the future, it will undoubtedly have an impact on the financial system.
7. Hello friend, digital currency is not recommended
8. In my opinion, many people today will lay an impermeable thing under the bottom of the fish pond. I don't know what it is. It looks like canvas or plastic cloth. We can learn from it.
Hot content