The logic of virtual currency rising
in the era of stand-alone games, the protagonist accumulates money by knocking down the enemy, entering the gambling house to win money, etc., which can be used to buy Herbs and equipment, but only in his own game console; The special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider is used to purchase the services within the website
there are four types of virtual currency in the market:
1. Game currency developed by game operators for players to use as a trading medium in online games
2. A special virtual currency issued by the portal or instant messaging tools for use in the operating cyberspace
3. Interactive virtual currency, which can be used in the issuing entity of virtual currency and can purchase goods and services from non issuing entities
4. Based on cryptography and modern network P2P technology, a special electronic and digital network cryptocurrency is proced through complex mathematical algorithm
the instrialization of virtual money will form a virtual money market. If the emergence of the stock market is the proct of the combination of instrial capital and financial capital, then virtual currency will be the proct of the combination of service capital and financial capital. Modern service instry, especially personalized modern information service instry, will become the instrial foundation of personalized virtual currency
the personalized virtual money market is different from the stock market and derivative financial instrument market. The latter is more established for the needs of instrialization, which is also reflected in meeting the needs of the so-called modern service instry; The instrial foundation of the former is closely related to the demand of informatization
The future of the tertiary instry is different from the service instry, its development direction is the post-modern service instry, that is, the experience instry, that is, more personalized instry to meet the development needs of spirit, culture and entertainment. The stock market will make more use of information to guide the rational investment of instry and service instry, while the personalized virtual money market will make more use of information to guide the perceptual consumption of experience instry1、 Different definitions:
1. Virtual currency:
virtual currency refers to non real currency
digital currency:digital currency is an alternative currency in the form of electronic currency. Both digital gold coin and cryptocurrency belong to digiccy
3. Cryptocurrency:
cryptocurrency is a kind of transaction medium that uses cryptography principles to ensure transaction security and control the creation of transaction units
4. Token (token):
a kind of article whose shape and size are similar to currency, but the scope of use is limited and has no currency effect, and its token is the homonym of token in English
Second, the characteristics are different:1; It can also be said that virtual currency is personalized currency. In another way, it can also be called information currency
2. Digital currency:
is an unregulated and digital currency, which is usually issued and managed by developers and accepted and used by members of specific virtual communities
Cryptocurrency:cryptocurrency is based on the decentralized consensus mechanism, which is opposite to the banking and financial system relying on the centralized regulatory system
4. Token (token):
usually needs to be exchanged for money, used in shops, playgrounds, mass transportation and other places, as a voucher to use services and exchange goods
extended data
at present, digital currency is more like an investment proct, because it lacks a strong guarantee agency to maintain its price stability, and its role as a value measure has not yet appeared, so it can not be used as a means of payment. As an investment proct, digital currency cannot develop without trading platform, operating company and investment company
digital currency is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, the blockchain technology it relies on has been decentralized and can be used in other fields except digital currency, which is one of the reasons why bitcoin is popular; On the other hand, if digital currency is widely used by the public as a kind of currency, it will have a huge impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy, financial infrastructure, financial market and financial stability
There is no definition and distinction between game currency and stock, derivative financial instruments, especially electronic currency. In fact, there is an internal thread that can run through these different forms of virtual currency, which is the performance maturity of personalized value. We can summarize it logically as follows:
Bank e-money
Bank e-money was initially a kind of "pseudo virtual money". It only has the form of virtual currency, such as digitization and symbolization, but it does not have the essence of virtual currency and has nothing to do with personalization. For example, it is just the counterpart of paper money; It may be issued by the central bank; It may be in the same market as the money market. However, bank e-money has broken through the extension of money, that is, it can also be issued not by the central bank, but by information service providers, as was the case with several early e-money. The second breakthrough is the liquidity of bank e-money, which far exceeds that of ordinary money. Therefore, it implies a challenge to the pricing power of currency price level. For example, in overnight lending, if the same money is turned over several times in the form of electronic money, although from the traditional monetary point of view, nothing has happened, but from the perspective of virtual money circulation speed, it has actually changed the conditions of money price level
credit information currency
stock is the most typical credit information currency. Its essence is virtual and it is a kind of virtual currency with personalized characteristics. It is the most realistic foundation of the current virtual economy. Stock market and derivative financial instrument market constitute a large-scale and unified virtual money market. They are not only based on entity business, but also supported by a wide range of information services such as trust business and insurance business. The so-called unified market refers to that the market as a whole can be exchanged with the money market at the overall level of national income. Historically, only when money forms a unified market, that is, the main body of the national economy is monetized, can the adjustment of money quantity and interest rate on the national economy be discussed. The same is true for the virtual economy. This issue is not without dispute. Although the scale of the virtual economy is several times larger than that of the real economy, a large part of the real economy has not entered the unified market. If the game currency is compared with stocks, its progress in this respect is far from satisfactory. Only through the two stages of entertainment instrialization and instrial entertainment, it is possible to reach the level of unified market
analyzing the stock market and derivative financial instrument market, the biggest difference between the stock market and the general money market is that its circulation speed cannot be directly determined by the central bank. For example, as a virtual currency, the price level of stock index can not be directly determined by the central bank like the interest rate, but by the so-called "confidence" of people. The fundamentals of the central bank and the real capital market can only indirectly determine the stock market, not directly. So I think the stock market is an information market, not a money market
compared with the mature virtual money market, the main characteristics of the stock market are incomplete. The stock market integrates the noise at all reference points (i.e. indivial gain and loss values) into a unified reference value, which is combined with the standard value (utility value on the basis and general equilibrium value) to form the continuous fluctuation of the market around the utility value. Although it is different from the money market with the central bank as the center for orderly centripetal movement, it is not different from the money market. From the point of view of the real virtual money market, the characteristic of this market is the incommensurable personalized fixed value. In this sense, the centralized stock market has not achieved this function, and the independent role of the stock market as the so-called "casino" has not been played. Thirdly,
the fundamental function of personalized credit voucher
virtual currency is to synthesize value on the spot of personality, rather than to determine a rational value in isolation at an equilibrium point separated from the real world. The significance of virtual currency is to establish a value system centered on the final consumer. After the full realization of virtual currency, the single currency with general equivalent function will tend to be backward. Game currency is the experimental field of virtual currency at a higher stage, and it is difficult to be a major task. The ideal virtual currency is the value symbol of the real world. In the general equivalent exchange, the specific use value and the corresponding subject of the specific use value, namely the non-homogeneous needs and personalized needs of people, are completely filtered out. Virtual currency will change all this, through the virtual way, people's heterogeneous needs and personalized needs will be anchored to the fundamentals by indivial reference point, and the value will be synthesized. Therefore, virtual currency must have two sides, one is to have the function of commodity exchange, the other is to have the function of barter. Through the former to overcome the relativity and subjectivity of value, through the latter to achieve personalized value confirmation. In order to achieve this goal, virtual currency must realize a huge transformation, which is to transform to dialogue system and become interactive currency. The bargaining here is aimed at the level of currency price. Recall that the transformation from text to dialogue, which has been realized for decades, is the direction of the transformation of virtual currency. The value of game currency is uncertain. When people exchange game currency, it is uncertain whether the ultimate happiness they may get is above or below the currency value until they participate in the game. The game is a dialogue process. Of course, various value-added functions of game currency have not been developed in combination with personalized information services. If this kind of value-added business is fully developed, game currency will not be used because of the different businesses providing services, which may become an advantage over stocks
a fully personalized virtual currency may be a kind of currency card with additional information, and its value is to be confirmed. Virtual currency with specific undetermined function and resial value, on the one hand, its information can have room for reinterpretation like text, on the other hand, it has the potential of karaoke like redevelopment. Its information value has an open interface and can be added again. If they are exchanged in the secondary market like the stock market, they may float up and down in the basic par value with their personalized information, and they will have more attractiveness like stocks. Game currency only has the function of value circulation, but not the function of market platform, so it is only an imperfect virtual currency. The reason is the lack of corresponding instrial base
No. Virtual currency with good operation and investment will survive for a long time and will not go bankrupt in a few months, such as bitcoin and internet currency of Internet companies
there are various types of virtual currencies. The virtual currencies with high acceptance abroad are Facebook's f currency, online game second life's Linden currency, etc., while the representative virtual currencies in China are Tencent's Q currency, Sina's u currency, online currency, Shanda Yuanbao, etc
virtual currency is different from check and telegraphic transfer. The value that virtual currency can't realize can't be transferred by bank. At present, it can only circulate in the network world. Virtual currency is released by various network organizations, and there is no unified issuance and management standard
2. The special currency issued by the portal website or instant messaging service provider is used to purchase the services in the website the most widely used is Tencent's q-coin, which can be used to purchase value-added services such as membership and QQ show
3. Virtual currency on the Internet. For example, bitcoin, Wright currency, etc. bitcoin is an electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Some people also translate bitcoin as "bitcoin", which is a kind of network virtual currency. It is mainly used for Internet financial investment, and can also be directly used in daily life as a new currency
Why do you want to go up? What's the logic
not to mention how many years after the excavation, no one should have g this thing for a long time
take your time
is bitcoin a currency? No, money needs to be liquid, so it needs to be actively over issued to eliminate inflation. Bitcoin can't, so it's not money. It's just because money can't rise so much. Have you ever heard that money can ride a roller coaster? There is no such thing
at best, it can only be collectibles, such as gold, silver, jewelry, ancient books, calligraphy and paintings. You can accept them if you like, and sell them for money if you don't want them
so why is this thing going up so crazy now? In fact, it's just hype
you need to analyze the mentality of the holder, except those who really have faith, the rest are not waiting for it to give you money. Do you want money or bitcoin? Of course, it's money, or I won't ask if it will go up
everyone is bidding up its value. It's a tacit thing to get money after shipping. When you don't ship, you only have a market value, not money. So in essence, you have to ship. After shipping, you can "pursue a better life"
will bitcoin keep rising? This actually doesn't exist, you don't sell bitcoin? You don't know? Don't you want a better life? You will meet your real needs more or less by discounting when you are still young and energetic. The money I earn is for use, and bitcoin does not create value. Then the money I want to use is yours. It's so simple. To put it bluntly, the longer the time, the greater the desire for discounting, even at a stable high level, This kind of pressure still exists. With this pressure, the rise will be limited, and the decline is the manifestation of pressure accumulation
here we need to introce something that we haven't mentioned before, which is the circulation disk. In fact, the proportion of bitcoin circulation disk is not high. Why such a large market value of things can rise and fall more quickly is actually the problem of circulation disk. That is to say, only a small part of the circulation disk is supported by money, and most of the non circulation is actually false value
you can now switch back to the topic
when the total amount of something that can be hyped is exhausted, that is to say, you have lost the way to obtain it at no cost or low cost. Then you have to hold it through trading, and it is not a necessity of your life, and you do not have to hold it. Maybe the price is already at a high level, and the rise and fall of the market will not be very crazy, If you want a big return, you have to buy a large amount of money. The cost you hold is very large. The cost means that the risk is high, and ordinary people can't afford to play. Please note that the original purpose of money is to fight small for big. How much investment enthusiasm is there at this time
because it has completely presented its own value, that is, the so-called generation currency, and obviously it has not achieved the expected goal, such as the idea of decentralization, which is impossible to realize. If it is realized, you will not care how much it is worth, whether it will rise or not, but only how much you hold, and its value logic will collapse
at this time, we can see whether it has collection value. It is no longer proced, but it is a pity that it is not a complete collection. It has neither scarcity nor the most basic aesthetic feeling. It has no artistry, craftsmanship and so on. Its quantity is very large. Do you think degradable garbage bags have collection value? Even if this kind of garbage bag is no longer proced, it is still not
to sum up, 1. There is no cheap way to get it; 2. The price is already very high, the profit space is small, and the cost is high; 3. The value logic has collapsed, and it is not a token; 4. Even as a collection, it doesn't mean much. What are these rules destroying? It is confidence
do you still want to hold such a thing? It's normal that there are things to hold, things to come out and things to go in. But as I said before, there is a time pressure there. Money has to be used. Holding needs to be discounted
at this time, we have to talk about the circulation market. If the circulation market is not big enough, it is a dead hole. Theoretically speaking, if the value logic can not be realized, we should sell as a normal investor. We consider that most of the circulation market are normal investors, so it is inevitable that the sales volume of circulation market is larger than the purchase volume, As long as the money coming out is greater than the money going in, it can be seen that the market value is falling, and it is obvious that the shrinkage of the market value is several times of the actual outflow, because those that are not in circulation are nominal prices, and those that do not exist will disappear as soon as they fall
and this decline is continuous, if it worsens into panic selling, it will be irreversible
that's my point of view. Of course, I don't think it's possible to wait until the last coin is g out. At present, there are obvious signs of a decline in investment confidence. If you are a rational investor, whether you will hold bitcoin for a long time, most of the answers are whether or not you will buy on the cheap, and most of the answers are wait-and-see, which shows the problem, At the end of the day, bitcoin is about confidence
Virtual currency is a hot topic in recent years, and many people have made a lot of money because of it, but the current situation of these people is so sad
some people become famous and realize the freedom of wealth, while some people continue to speculate like gamblers and lose everything
this kind of people all heard that other people made money from it, and then they regretted very much. Why didn't they buy a few bitcoins in those years
then, in order to make up for this regret, these people are crazy, looking for this coin and that coin every day, spending all their savings, but in the end, few of them increase their prices
you should know that scarcity is the most important thing. Now all kinds of virtual currencies have been saturated for a long time. What's the use of joining in this? If you don't say anything else, just bitcoin, a lot of people can't do it, OK
CPI directly reflects the price rise, that is, the inflation rate. The customs clearance fisher effect further affects the interest rate and the international exchange rate (people's appreciation and depreciation)
the growth rate of M2 has no direct relationship with currency depreciation. Even if the price does not rise, the GDP will increase and the currency will increase. But if M2 grows too fast, it will cause inflation, that is, currency devaluation
CPI is the abbreviation of consumer price index. Consumer price index (CPI) is a macro-economic index that reflects the price changes of consumer goods and services generally purchased by households. It is a relative number to measure the price level of a group of representative consumer goods and services over time. It is used to reflect the price level changes of consumer goods and services purchased by households
broad money is an economic concept. M0, M1, M2 and M3 are all important indicators to reflect money supply. M1 reflects the real purchasing power in economy; M2 reflects both real and potential purchasing power. If M1 grows fast, consumption and terminal market will be active; If M2 grows fast, investment and intermediate market will be active. The central bank and the commercial banks can judge the monetary policy on this basis. M2 is too high and M1 is too low, which indicates that investment is overheated, demand is not strong and there is a risk of crisis; M1 is too high and M2 is too low, indicating strong demand, insufficient investment and the risk of price rise