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What is the impact of the price trend of virtual currency

Publish: 2021-04-24 07:42:25
1. The value of virtual currency is reflected in "more people recognize it". At the beginning of any instry, there will be savage growth. Take bitcoin as an example, the peak price of bitcoin is close to $2W, and the current price is only about $6500
in the current situation, blockchain is not a mature technology. What the market values is the so-called prospect, and it will take time to improve and excavate it slowly. However, the collapse of virtual currency is just a return to its own value
in short, I think bitcoin will continue to grow slowly after falling below a certain price. The current slump is just that the funds attracted by the previous heat have discovered the characteristics of virtual currency (hacker attack, dealer trading, these two situations will probably only appear in the newly issued currency, which is determined by the characteristics of blockchain, in other words, Hackers may also attack bitcoin in the early stage, but the more people and nodes bitcoin enters, the lower the probability of this situation, and the more difficult it is to generate)
in addition, I think that a large number of people in China even don't know what bitcoin is, so they are ready to make a fortune with money.
2.

Because now people are influenced by some comments on the Internet, such as bitcoin, its value has increased many times since it came into being, people think that virtual currency should be a very promising thing, so many people follow suit


if you really have a lot of spare money, you can consider investing in some stable bonds, some science and technology innovation board and stocks, but don't invest too much in virtual currency

3. With the three characteristics of open source code, limited total amount and decentralization, it is the real encrypted Internet digital assets. "As long as the Internet exists, the network gold will never disappear.". At present, the connection between online gold and future city, a listed company in the United States, has been successful, and its commercial application has been carried out in more than 40 countries all over the world.
because the value growth of online gold is different from other digital currencies, it is mainly e to the value superposition of more and more businesses, rather than the price growth brought by interpersonal transactions. Because of the value-added property of online gold, businesses and consumers are more willing to accept it. Such a virtuous circle is the main factor to promote the net gold to rise but not fall. Since the price of online gold is determined by market transactions, it will not be controlled by the market like stocks,
4. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system. Unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity
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5. As a financial technology enthusiast, kuanke online Xiaobian, I think, there are several major factors to promote
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
6. The concept of supply and demand is one of the basic laws of economics. In short, the rarer things are and the more they are needed, the higher the price is
the bitcoin protocol predetermines the number of currencies in circulation to be 21 million. There are less than 4 million bitcoins left to mine, and with the popularity of cryptocurrency, scarcity seems to have an impact on prices
of course, we also see the price drop e to the same mechanism. Once Nobuaki Kobayashi, the trustee of Mt. GOx, declared bankruptcy, a large number of bitcoins were sold, and the price began to fall as the market was expected to flood< Although bitcoin is the most famous cryptocurrency with the largest circulation at present, investors also have hundreds of other options for cryptocurrencies. Generally speaking, the existence of competitors can guarantee the investment value. Without strong alternatives, such as the euro, the Renminbi or the pound, the value of the dollar would be different. However, the speculative and quasi legal status of cryptocurrency makes it difficult to understand how competition rules will affect pricing
however, as far as the current situation is concerned, bitcoin is still the best in terms of traffic volume, penetration and application. However, with the continuous development of cryptocurrency and the improvement of the ecology of other competitive currencies, bitcoin should also speed up its integration into the society, and always ensure its "big brother" status in order to continue to appreciate
regulatory issues

with the popularity of bitcoin in the world, the regulatory agencies of various countries are also racking their brains to deal with this new species. They must figure out several issues surrounding bitcoin, such as how a country's tax system treats this new currency, whether it should regulate cryptocurrency, and how to regulate it
the two events highlight that regulatory measures will have a significant impact on currency prices. Just after Japan announced that bitcoin would be regarded as legal currency, the price of bitcoin increased by 2% in one day. Over the next two months, the global price of bitcoin soared by 160%. When China announced the closure of several major cryptocurrency exchanges and the ban on domestic ICO, the price of bitcoin fell 29% in one day
although many people think that the legislative provisions are unfavorable to the encryption field, the fact is just the opposite. Although bitcoin has been in existence for nearly a decade, it gained fame in 2017 e to the sharp rise in price. In other words, in the eyes of ordinary people, this is a relatively new field
what a new market needs most is clear, concise and powerful regulations to provide potential investors with some security and a framework they can understand
how regulatory regulations deal with issues that may affect the prices of bitcoin and other virtual currencies. Earlier this year, when China announced a ban on initial coin procts (ICO), the price of bitcoin fell 5%, while eth, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, fell more than 12%. This is a clear example of how such a direct regulatory move could have a huge impact on the price of the bitcoin
to sum up, the most important factor affecting the price trend of bitcoin is market sentiment. If you can grasp the trend of market sentiment, you can grasp the trend of bitcoin price.
7. There are many factors that can affect the price of digital currency, which can be summarized as follows:

1. The factor of investment supply and demand is actually not independent, and investors' demand for digital currency is also affected by various news factors. However, from the price surge of last year, in the absence of obvious policy and other news, The admission of investors and investment institutions will also promote the price growth

2. Policy factors are also important factors affecting the price of digital red packets. In the past, the implementation and formulation of policies in South Korea, Japan, the United States and China have affected the price trend of bitcoin

3. The real financial factors and the instability of the real financial world make the demand for digital assets rise from time to time. For example, the Chinese government's policy adjustment, the brexit of the UK, the setback of the global stock market at the beginning of 2018 and other events all give play to the hedging characteristics of digital currency

4. Technical factors. Although the security of digital currency has been highly respected in its development, several technical crises still occurred in its development history. For example, bitfinex, the largest bitcoin dollar exchange, was attacked by hackers and stole 120000 bitcoin, and bitcoin fell by 25% in the following six trading days

5. Good news and bad news will affect the fluctuation of currency value

6. The market trend will be affected by the actions of the leading enterprises in this field, platforms, digital currencies with large market share, leaders with great influence in the market, etc

besides, choosing a good project can avoid risks to a certain extent. For example, HNB, the next generation of decentralized blockchain economy, is a reliable project. It relies on the real economy, and at the same time uses value exchange to continuously create endogenous value. It uses blockchain to build an economy, so that everyone can participate in it and get returns through labor, instead of relying on currency speculation.
8. The theoretical basis of cognitive therapy is the cognitive theory of emotional disorders proposed by Aron Beck. He believes that: psychological problems "are not necessarily generated by mysterious and irresistible forces, on the contrary, they can be generated from ordinary events, such as wrong learning, making wrong inferences based on one-sided or incorrect information, and failing to properly distinguish the difference between reality and ideal, etc." He proposed that everyone's emotion and behavior are largely determined by his own way of understanding the world and dealing with the world, that is to say, a person's thought determines his inner experience and reaction
the starting point of cognitive theory is to confirm that thought and belief are the causes of emotional state and behavior. Beck argued that patients with depression often become depressed and distort the meaning of things e to the mistakes in making logical judgments; Usually, a small thing (such as spilling a drink) will be seen as a sign of complete despair in his life. Therefore, patients with depression always make illogical inferences about themselves and explain all events with the idea of self depreciation and self blame
cognitive therapy is a general term for a class of psychotherapy methods that change patients' bad cognition through cognitive and behavioral technology according to the theoretical hypothesis that cognitive process affects emotion and behavior. Cognition generally refers to cognitive activities or processes, including belief and belief system, thinking and imagination. Cognitive process generally consists of three parts: (1) the process of receiving and evaluating information 2) The process of generating methods to deal with and deal with problems 3) The process of forecasting and estimating results
cognitive therapy attaches great importance to the study of patients' bad cognition and way of thinking, and regards self frustration behavior as the result of patients' bad cognition. The so-called bad cognition refers to distorted and unreasonable; Negative beliefs or thoughts often lead to emotional disorders and non adaptive behaviors. The purpose of treatment is to correct these unreasonable cognition, so that the patient's emotion and behavior can be changed accordingly. Cognitive therapy pays more attention to the change of patients' cognitive style and the harmony of cognition emotion behavior. We also attach importance to the events in consciousness rather than subconsciousness; Introspective therapy attaches importance to the influence of past experiences, especially childhood experiences, on eye problems, and pays attention to subconsciousness while neglecting conscious events
the theory and scope of cognitive therapy are constantly complementing and expanding, and dynamic cognitive therapy and cognitive behavioral therapy emerge as the times require. The former is advocated and developed by Weiner. He believes that the development of cognitive process (i.e. perception, memory, reasoning, evaluation, problem-solving and learning methods) can not be separated from indivial growth and interpersonal communication. Only without separation can we have self-esteem and identity, vent and control impulse, and contact with others. Children with trauma and without good ecation often have partial or comprehensive cognitive impairment. Dynamic cognitive therapy is to replace the defective cognitive structure with appropriate cognitive structure. The latter is systematically elaborated and developed by Marner and arnkov on the basis of previous work. Its basic assumption is that maladjustment is caused by the interaction of psychological factors, biological factors and environmental factors. The treatment method is to comprehensively apply cognitive technology and behavioral technology to correct bad behavior.
9. Pure speculation in order to buy more people will rise, sell more people will fall. However, recently, the stock market will have an impact on the virtual currency market. Stocks fall, virtual currency rises, stocks rise, virtual currency falls
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