Mechanism of virtual currency increase
1. Digital money supply:
for example, the supply of bitcoin may be limited (21 million), which is expected to be fully exploited by 2040, but even so, the availability of money will fluctuate with the speed of its entry into the market and the activities of its holders
2, the value of the digital currency: the value of the
digital money market and the expectation of its currency will affect the behavior of traders, choose to participate in a blowout market or short bubbles. p>
3. Negative reports:
any currency will be affected by the public perception, especially digital currency. Even in its heyday, its security, currency value and currency circulation have been questioned
4. Resource integration:
establishing the image of digital currency and building the confidence to defeat traditional currency depend on its integration with new payment system and crowdfunding platform
5. Instry acceptance:
bitcoin and other digital currencies have not been widely accepted by global enterprises, and the impact of placing it in a more important position in enterprises is unknown
6. Key events:
any major event, including regulatory changes, security loopholes, macroeconomic setbacks, may have a serious impact on cryptocurrency
extended data
monetary characteristics:
as a non fully circulating asset, the strong price of digital cryptocurrency must be supported by reserves; The price fluctuation depends on the real-time transaction demand of bitcoin to legal currency
the biggest feature of digital cryptocurrency is that it is global. No matter where you are, of course, the human beings in the Mars bunker outside the earth have no problem. As long as you can log on to the network, you can freely control your own assets within the scope of the global network, which is safe and convenient. The assets in an address can be controlled independently or jointly (multi signature smart contract)
fire coin BTC can be bought at 50000 yuan for Zhang San and sold at 50000 yuan for Li Si. The transaction price is the price of fire coin platform
the transaction price of Yuan'an BTC is the price of Yuan'an platform
so the two prices are certainly different
in this case, Lin mule knows that the BTC value of the fire coin is 50000, so he must raise the price by 50000. But in the process of raising the price, because the supply exceeds the demand, Li Si may have raised the price to 52000
therefore, there is a price difference between platforms, but why is the price difference small? Because some people buy from this platform at a low price, and sell from that platform at a high price, until the gap between the two sides can not cover the handling charges - it's called "moving bricks" in the instry. In the early days, it was a business that made a steady profit without losing money.
Bitcoin price accelerated to rise at the same time, there has been a more rapid decline in the callback
according to the price of coindesk on bitcoin news and information network, on January 11, the price of bitcoin fell to about US $30305, down 27.78% from the highest price of US $41962 in history. In other words, the price of bitcoin fell from $40000 to $30305 in just over a day. Before that, bitcoin took six days to rise from $30000 to $40000
from the macro-economic environment, Yu Jianing believes that the correction on January 11 can be regarded as a hedging measure taken by overseas mainstream investment institutions. He believes that one of the reasons for bitcoin's rise this year is the continued decline of the dollar index. At present, Biden's government is coming to power, "bad is good", the dollar may rebound, global commodity assets have a significant correction, and the digital asset market will adjust accordingly
in recent days, the US dollar index has risen significantly. As of press release, the US dollar index is about 90.49, down 0.06 from the previous day and up 1.16% from the closing price of 89.42 on January 6
he also pointed out that many bitcoin miners choose to sell at relatively high prices. According to cq.live, the miner's position index (MPI) has reached its highest level this year. The MPI index is higher than 2, which indicates that miners tend to sell bitcoin after mining; If MPI is negative, it indicates that they are optimistic about the short-term trend and choose to hoard bitcoin. At present, the value is about 5.26, indicating that the miners are selling bitcoin on the over-the-counter market or exchange. In addition, bytetree data also shows that in the past week, bitcoin miners g out 6894 bitcoins, but sold 10047 bitcoins, which means that the miners sold nearly 3153 bitcoins in stock
Yu Jianing mentioned that another reason for the decline is the website downtime of the largest compliance exchange in the United States, such as coinbase, after the market fluctuated violently, which delayed the trading of users, and many buying orders could not be traded normally, which also led to the bitcoin price on the website far lower than the market price, further aggravating the market panic
"e to the failure of the coinbase system, we could only sell but not hang up the bill yesterday, and the whole trading world order was destroyed." A coin circle employee also said
regulatory warning bitcoin volatility risk
it is worth noting that the recent ups and downs of bitcoin has also aroused the vigilance of regulatory authorities in various countries
On January 12, the New Zealand financial market authority (FMA) warned new Zealanders to invest in cryptocurrency prudently, according to the New Zealand Herald"new Zealanders who are considering buying cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin should realize that they are high-risk and highly volatile assets," a spokesman for the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority said. "Cryptocurrencies are not regulated in New Zealand and are often used by fraudsters and hackers."
According to the times on January 9, HSBC has decided to stop providing cryptocurrency trading services to customers in the UK, including prohibiting customers from depositing funds into HSBC from their digital wallets. At the same time, many other UK banks have banned customers from using credit cards to buy digital currencies such as bitcoin"the virtual currency represented by stable currency is facing more and more complicated compliance risks. As more and more economic activities migrate to the blockchain, the instry is facing great compliance pressure. The circulation of stable currencies such as usdt will grow explosively in 2020, reaching a record high. Behind this, part of the use demand comes from the normal transactions in compliance, but there are also black and gray demands for money laundering, illegal financing and other problems. In the future, the blockchain instry will face more and more compliance challenges. " Yu said
he pointed out that according to the report on anti money laundering of virtual currency released by peckshield in 2020, the value of unregulated outbound virtual currency reached US $17.5 billion in 2020, an increase of 51% compared with that in 2019, and it is still growing rapidly. The number of fraud cases involving virtual currency continued to rise to 151, an increase of 655% over 2019
Yu Jianing said: "since the second half of 2020, fraud, attack, extortion, gambling and other assets, as well as money laundering, run points and other gray assets, have begun to turn into virtual currency money laundering. The number of extortion cases has increased rapidly, and the situation of virtual currency anti money laundering is grim. In 2021, it is necessary for the blockchain and digital assets instry to adopt a more strict and prudent KYC (know your customer) review mechanism, More stringent anti money laundering standards will be implemented. "Bitcoin can be said to be the ancestor of virtual currency. It was launched in 2009. At that time, the value of bitcoin was very low. One dollar could buy more than 1300 bitcoins. At that time, a programmer in the United States exchanged 1000 bitcoins for two pizzas, which is often ridiculed by everyone. A lot of people are saying that if his bitcoin had been preserved until now, he would have been a billionaire. But who knew that bitcoin would be so valuable in modern times? At that time, few people knew about bitcoin, so there was no hype. At that time, bitcoin had no economic purpose. It was just used to exchange game equipment
now the world uses a lot of electricity to dig bitcoin every year, because the cost of electricity is very high, and the market value of bitcoin is volatile, so the benefits obtained by digging bitcoin are very small
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I think the main reason for the price increase of hundreds of counterfeit currencies is that virtual currencies are very hot now. Take bitcoin and Ethereum for example, they have all risen several times or even dozens of times and many people who don't make money in bitcoin or Ethereum will focus on some counterfeit currencies, because the price of these counterfeit currencies is very low and may rise to such a high price as Ethereum in the future. They are all predicting investment. When there is a lot of money to buy Shanzhai coin, of course, the price of Shanzhai coin will be speculation
virtual currency is the bubble
. I think the hot money of virtual currency is a bubble. Until a certain time, when the bubble breaks, many people will lose their blood. Because most people are ordinary people, they don't have too much capital, and these retail investors have little control over the market. And this kind of counterfeit currency is controlled by big capital, they can decide the rise and fall of counterfeit currency, and virtual currency has no market supervision, so investment is very dangerous
conclusion: in fact, every once in a while, this kind of virtual currency will go through a period of sharp rise, and then go into a low period of sharp fall, reaping some people's investment. In fact, these are all capitalist games, and those who lose money in the virtual money market are ordinary people, and those who earn money are capital. So many people call these ordinary investors leeks
many people will find resources like virtual currency often mentioned in the news when they learn about the economic news moreover, in our daily life, we also feel special concern for such a relevant market. At the beginning of April, there was a big increase in global psychological money, which broke the historical record of US $200 million
bitcoin like this and virtual currency like Ethereum, and their prices have also repeatedly reached new highs, so they have attracted a large number of investors they also want to make such investment and financial management through their own other channels, and there may be some violations of the law and discipline. For example, for some virtual currencies, they may also have some other platforms, and they will also launch some platform currencies or counterfeit currencies. Although from now on, the market value of bitcoin is probably on the top of US $100 billion, many people still hold a more cautious and skeptical attitude towards bitcoin. After all, the rise of bitcoin is not always in a continuous upward trend, and there will be a decline